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NEC Nijmegen
W D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

PSV Eindhoven
W D W L W
1X2 PSV Eindhoven 41%
O/U Over 2.5 77%
DC X2 72%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
NEC Nijmegen 37% Draw 22% PSV Eindhoven 41%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven?

Our prediction for the NEC Nijmegen–PSV Eindhoven match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

PSV Eindhoven to win (41% confidence); PSV Eindhoven to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

NEC Nijmegen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

PSV Eindhoven

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, PSV Eindhoven scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, NEC Nijmegen and PSV Eindhoven average 5.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Linssen contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.46/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, S. Mijnans contributed 4 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.05/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, PSV Eindhoven records a mean of 6.93/10 versus 6.71/10 for NEC Nijmegen.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. de Groot for NEC Nijmegen and P. Bosz for PSV Eindhoven. The latest recorded formations are NEC Nijmegen in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and PSV Eindhoven in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, NEC Nijmegen averaged 56.8% possession and 16.1 shots per match (5.1 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 12 matches, PSV Eindhoven averaged 58.5% possession and 16.9 shots (5.5 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 7 recent home matches, NEC Nijmegen recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.14 points, 1.71 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match. Away from home, PSV Eindhoven recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.71 points, 2.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Goffertstadion (Nijmegen).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for NEC Nijmegen: 1.1 points per home match compared with 1.4 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.66 — 1.70 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%NEC Nijmegen
X24%Draw
239%PSV Eindhoven
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

NEC Nijmegen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for NEC Nijmegen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
PSV Eindhoven
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for PSV Eindhoven.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

NEC Nijmegen18%
PSV Eindhoven19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

NEC Nijmegen14%
PSV Eindhoven15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

NEC Nijmegen49%
PSV Eindhoven51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

NEC Nijmegen
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 24%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
PSV Eindhoven
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 24%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.50%
#21-28.31%
#32-18.12%
#42-26.91%
#50-15.35%
Combined Top 539.19%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

NEC Nijmegen + BTTS23%
PSV Eindhoven + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

NEC Nijmegen Season

Rank#11
Points14
Matches Left26

PSV Eindhoven Season

Rank#1
Points26
Matches Left26

NEC Nijmegen Last 5

Utrecht 2 - 3
Omonia Nicosia 3 - 1
Heerenveen 1 - 0
Groningen 2 - 2
Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 4

PSV Eindhoven Last 5

Cambuur 2 - 5
Club Brugge KV 1 - 2
Willem II 7 - 0
Feyenoord 1 - 1
FC Porto 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

NEC Nijmegen: 0 Draws: 1 PSV Eindhoven: 4
2026 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 3 NEC Nijmegen
2026 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 2 PSV Eindhoven
2025 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 5 PSV Eindhoven
2025 NEC Nijmegen 3 - 3 PSV Eindhoven
2024 PSV Eindhoven 2 - 0 NEC Nijmegen

Form Analysis

NEC Nijmegen
W L D D D
PSV Eindhoven
W W D L W

NEC Nijmegen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored9
Goals conceded12
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

PSV Eindhoven Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.17
Goals scored19
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

NEC Nijmegen
1.77
PSV Eindhoven
2.38

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven is a Eredivisie football match on November 21, 2026 at Goffertstadion. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDDD) for NEC Nijmegen and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDLW) for PSV Eindhoven. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Goffertstadion

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, NEC Nijmegen is currently #11 with 14 points from 12 matches, while PSV Eindhoven is #1 with 26 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: NEC Nijmegen won 0, 1 were drawn and PSV Eindhoven won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows NEC Nijmegen at 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus PSV Eindhoven at 3.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.77 for NEC Nijmegen and 2.38 for PSV Eindhoven.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.