What is the prediction for the football match between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union?
Our prediction for the New England Revolution–Philadelphia Union match is: Philadelphia Union to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
New England Revolution to win (47% confidence); over 2.5 goals (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
New England Revolution
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New England Revolution scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Philadelphia Union
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Philadelphia Union scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): New England Revolution scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Philadelphia Union scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Carles Gil contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.47/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, B. Damiani contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.13/10 across 4 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, New England Revolution records a mean of 6.70/10 versus 6.54/10 for Philadelphia Union.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists J. Curtin as coach of Philadelphia Union. The latest recorded formations are New England Revolution in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, New England Revolution averaged 49.9% possession and 11.8 shots per match (5.0 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 12 matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 48.0% possession and 17.3 shots (6.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, New England Revolution recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.80 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Philadelphia Union recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.17 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Gillette Stadium.
Recent results show no clear home advantage for New England Revolution: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.9 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.