OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 New England Revolution 47%
O/U Over 2.5 69%
DC X2 76%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
New England Revolution 47% Draw 21% Philadelphia Union 32%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between New England Revolution and Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for the New England Revolution–Philadelphia Union match is: Philadelphia Union to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

New England Revolution to win (47% confidence); over 2.5 goals (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

New England Revolution

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New England Revolution scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Philadelphia Union

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Philadelphia Union scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): New England Revolution scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Philadelphia Union scored 1.40 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Carles Gil contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.47/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, B. Damiani contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.13/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, New England Revolution records a mean of 6.70/10 versus 6.54/10 for Philadelphia Union.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Curtin as coach of Philadelphia Union. The latest recorded formations are New England Revolution in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, New England Revolution averaged 49.9% possession and 11.8 shots per match (5.0 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 12 matches, Philadelphia Union averaged 48.0% possession and 17.3 shots (6.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, New England Revolution recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.80 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Philadelphia Union recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.17 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Gillette Stadium.

Recent results show no clear home advantage for New England Revolution: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.9 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.52 — 1.69 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

134%New England Revolution
X25%Draw
241%Philadelphia Union
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

New England Revolution
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New England Revolution.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Philadelphia Union
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Philadelphia Union.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

New England Revolution18%
Philadelphia Union22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

New England Revolution14%
Philadelphia Union17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

New England Revolution45%
Philadelphia Union55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

New England Revolution
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 84%
-1W 17%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Philadelphia Union
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.12%
#21-28.74%
#32-17.86%
#42-26.65%
#50-16.21%
Combined Top 540.58%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

New England Revolution + BTTS20%
Philadelphia Union + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

New England Revolution Season

Rank#3
Points58
Matches Left4

Philadelphia Union Season

Rank#6
Points50
Matches Left4

New England Revolution Last 5

Orlando City SC 1 - 0
Inter Miami 1 - 2
New York Red Bulls 3 - 2
Philadelphia Union 1 - 2
Chicago Fire 1 - 0

Philadelphia Union Last 5

Toronto FC 4 - 1
FC Cincinnati 1 - 0
Nashville SC 0 - 0
New England Revolution 1 - 2
Charlotte 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution: 2 Draws: 0 Philadelphia Union: 3
2026 Philadelphia Union 1 - 2 New England Revolution
2026 New England Revolution 2 - 1 Philadelphia Union
2025 Philadelphia Union 1 - 0 New England Revolution
2025 New England Revolution 0 - 2 Philadelphia Union
2024 Philadelphia Union 5 - 1 New England Revolution

Form Analysis

New England Revolution
L L W W W
Philadelphia Union
W L D L D

New England Revolution Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.82
Goals scored31
Goals conceded20
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.18

Philadelphia Union Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored34
Goals conceded33
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.94

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

New England Revolution
1.41
Philadelphia Union
2.18

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Gillette Stadium. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWWW) for New England Revolution and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WLDLD) for Philadelphia Union. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Gillette Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, New England Revolution is currently #3 with 58 points from 34 matches, while Philadelphia Union is #6 with 50 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: New England Revolution won 2, 0 were drawn and Philadelphia Union won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows New England Revolution at 1.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per home match, versus Philadelphia Union at 2.00 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.41 for New England Revolution and 2.18 for Philadelphia Union.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.