OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings Our data
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Us Contact Privacy
Home

Norwich
L W W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Cardiff
D W L D W
1X2 Norwich 65%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 76%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Norwich 65% Draw 16% Cardiff 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Norwich and Cardiff?

Our prediction for the Norwich–Cardiff match is: Norwich to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Norwich to win (65% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Norwich

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Norwich scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Cardiff

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cardiff scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Norwich scored 3.00 and conceded 0.80 per match across 5 covered games; Cardiff scored 2.20 and conceded 2.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Kvistgaarden contributed 2 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.93/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Moylan contributed 5 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.17/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Norwich records a mean of 6.86/10 versus 6.47/10 for Cardiff.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists P. Clement as coach of Norwich. The latest recorded formations are Norwich in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Cardiff in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Norwich averaged 52.6% possession and 13.6 shots per match (5.1 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 10 matches, Cardiff averaged 57.4% possession and 17.1 shots (6.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Norwich recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Cardiff recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Championship fixture takes place at Carrow Road (Norwich).

Norwich's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 3 defeats in 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 points per home match compared with 1.8 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.73 — 1.52 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Norwich
X24%Draw
233%Cardiff
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Norwich
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Norwich.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Cardiff
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cardiff.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Norwich22%
Cardiff18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Norwich17%
Cardiff13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Norwich56%
Cardiff44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Norwich
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 24%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Cardiff
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 24%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.94%
#22-18.80%
#31-27.73%
#42-26.69%
#51-06.13%
Combined Top 540.29%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Norwich + BTTS25%
Cardiff + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Norwich Season

Rank#12
Points21
Matches Left23

Cardiff Season

Rank#14
Points18
Matches Left23

Norwich Last 5

Bristol City 0 - 5
Derby 0 - 4
Watford 3 - 2
Charlton 1 - 3
Portsmouth 0 - 1

Cardiff Last 5

Burnley 5 - 4
West Ham 3 - 3
Wolves 3 - 0
Birmingham 1 - 0
Middlesbrough 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Norwich: 4 Draws: 0 Cardiff: 1
2026 Cardiff 1 - 2 Norwich
2025 Norwich 4 - 2 Cardiff
2024 Cardiff 2 - 1 Norwich
2024 Norwich 4 - 1 Cardiff
2023 Cardiff 2 - 3 Norwich

Form Analysis

Norwich
W W W W L
Cardiff
W D L W D

Norwich Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.86
Goals scored13
Goals conceded12
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.71

Cardiff Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.86
Goals scored6
Goals conceded14
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Norwich
2.06
Cardiff
1.35

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Norwich vs Cardiff is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Carrow Road. Recent form is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWWL) for Norwich and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLWD) for Cardiff. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Carrow Road

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Norwich is currently #12 with 21 points from 15 matches, while Cardiff is #14 with 18 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Norwich won 4, 0 were drawn and Cardiff won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Norwich at 1.86 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per home match, versus Cardiff at 0.86 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.06 for Norwich and 1.35 for Cardiff.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.