What is the prediction for the football match between Osasuna and Malaga?
Our prediction for the Osasuna–Malaga match is: Osasuna to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Osasuna to win (47% confidence); under 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)
Osasuna
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Osasuna scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
Malaga
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Malaga scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Osasuna scored 1.20 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Malaga scored 1.20 and conceded 2.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Budimir contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.91/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Adrián Niño Heredia contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.63/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list P. Vasiljević for Osasuna and Sergio Pellicer for Malaga. The latest recorded formations are Osasuna in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Malaga in 5-3-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Osasuna averaged 45.0% possession and 11.0 shots per match (3.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 9 matches, Malaga averaged 48.4% possession and 11.4 shots (4.2 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Osasuna recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.60 points, 1.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Malaga recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.40 points, 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This La Liga fixture takes place at Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona).
Recent results show that Osasuna have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 1.6 points per home match compared with 0.5 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.