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Oviedo
L W W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Girona
D D W W L
1X2 Girona 42%
O/U Under 3.5 80%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Oviedo 31% Draw 26% Girona 42%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Oviedo and Girona?

Our prediction for the Oviedo–Girona match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Girona to win (42% confidence); Oviedo to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

Oviedo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Oviedo scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Girona

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Girona scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Carlos Domínguez contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, V. Vanat contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.52/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Girona records a mean of 6.83/10 versus 6.58/10 for Oviedo.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list V. Paunovic for Oviedo and Míchel for Girona. The latest recorded formations are Oviedo in 4-4-2 (Nov 2, 2026) and Girona in 4-4-2 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Oviedo averaged 48.3% possession and 16.4 shots per match (5.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Girona averaged 48.2% possession and 13.2 shots (4.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Oviedo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Girona recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Oviedo: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.7 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.45 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Oviedo
X26%Draw
236%Girona
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Oviedo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Oviedo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Girona
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Girona.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Oviedo23%
Girona22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Oviedo18%
Girona16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Oviedo51%
Girona49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Oviedo
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Girona
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.36%
#22-18.50%
#31-28.25%
#41-07.20%
#50-16.97%
Combined Top 543.28%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Oviedo + BTTS20%
Girona + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Oviedo Season

Rank#9
Points18
Matches Left26

Girona Season

Rank#7
Points21
Matches Left26

Oviedo Last 5

Las Palmas 2 - 3
Almeria 2 - 2
AD Ceuta FC 1 - 2
Eibar 3 - 1
Eldense 4 - 1

Girona Last 5

Real Sociedad II 1 - 0
Celta de Vigo II 5 - 1
FC Andorra 2 - 0
Tenerife 1 - 1
Mallorca 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Oviedo: 1 Draws: 2 Girona: 2
2026 Oviedo 1 - 0 Girona
2025 Girona 3 - 3 Oviedo
2022 Girona 2 - 1 Oviedo
2021 Oviedo 0 - 0 Girona
2021 Oviedo 0 - 1 Girona

Form Analysis

Oviedo
L D W W L
Girona
L W W D D

Oviedo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Girona Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Oviedo
1.19
Girona
1.12

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Oviedo vs Girona is a Football football match on November 14, 2026 at Estadio Carlos Tartiere. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDWWL) for Oviedo and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDD) for Girona. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 14 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Carlos Tartiere

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Oviedo is currently #9 with 18 points from 12 matches, while Girona is #7 with 21 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Oviedo won 1, 2 were drawn and Girona won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Oviedo at 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus Girona at 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.19 for Oviedo and 1.12 for Girona.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.