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Padova

L W W D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Carrarese

W L W L L
1X2 Padova 40%
O/U Under 2.5 86%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS No 48%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Padova 40% Draw 28% Carrarese 32%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.35 — 1.19 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Padova
X28%Draw
232%Carrarese
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes52%
No48%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 73%U 27%
O/U 2.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 3.5O 25%U 75%
O/U 4.5O 11%U 89%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Padova
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Padova.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Carrarese
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Carrarese.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 70%U 31%
1.5O 33%U 67%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 3%U 97%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Padova31%
Carrarese26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Padova22%
Carrarese17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Padova55%
Carrarese45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Padova
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 21%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 28%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 18%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Carrarese
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 18%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 28%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 21%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.71%
#21-09.92%
#30-08.67%
#40-18.61%
#52-18.53%
Combined Top 549.44%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Padova + BTTS18%
Carrarese + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Tommaso Rubino
40' 🟥 Filippo Oliana
45' 🔄 In: G. Marconi
45' 🔄 In: Gabriele Artistico
51' ⚽ Jonas Rouhi
51' 🟥 Gianluca Caprari
56' 🔄 In: Francesco Di Mariano
56' 🔄 In: Marco Pompetti
60' 🔄 In: Luka Topalovic
62' 🟥 Matthias Braunöder
67' 🔄 In: Nicolas Galazzi
72' 🔄 In: Jacopo Martini
72' 🔄 In: T. Guercio
79' 🔄 In: Alexander Seghetti
80' 🟥 Niccolò Belloni
82' 🟥 Gabriele parlanti
90' 🔄 In: Nicolo Cudrig

Lineups

Padova Home
  • A. Sorrentino
  • F. Sgarbi
  • M. Lovato
  • Alessandro Dellavalle
  • A. Capelli
  • P. Fusi
  • E. Zuelli
  • G. Caprari
  • M. Cocchi
  • M. Bortolussi
  • L. Moro
Carrarese Away
  • S. Pizzignacco
  • F. Ruggeri
  • F. Oliana
  • F. Reale
  • N. Belloni
  • Nicolás Schiavi
  • M. Braunöder
  • G. Parlanti
  • J. Rouhi
  • F. Abiuso
  • T. Rubino

Padova Season

Rank#10
Points15
Matches Left27

Carrarese Season

Rank#17
Points10
Matches Left27

Padova Last 5

Empoli 2 - 2
Catanzaro 1 - 1
Sudtirol 2 - 0
Avellino 0 - 1
Virtus Entella 1 - 2

Carrarese Last 5

Sampdoria 0 - 1
Hellas Verona 3 - 0
Arezzo 2 - 1
Palermo 2 - 1
Modena 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Padova: 1 Draws: 1 Carrarese: 0
2026 Padova 1 - 0 Carrarese
2025 Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova

Form Analysis

Padova
D D W W L
Carrarese
L L W L W

Padova Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Carrarese Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Match Statistics

11Shots10
1Shots on Target4
5Corners1
56%Possession44%
1Yellow Cards4

Expected Goals (xG)

Padova
0.85
Carrarese
0.42

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Padova vs Carrarese is a Football football match on October 11, 2026 at Stadio Comunale Euganeo. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDWWL) for Padova and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWLW) for Carrarese. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Comunale Euganeo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Padova is currently #10 with 15 points from 11 matches, while Carrarese is #17 with 10 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Padova won 1, 1 were drawn and Carrarese won 0 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Padova at 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per home match, versus Carrarese at 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.85 for Padova and 0.42 for Carrarese. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 0 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.