What is the prediction for the football match between Paris Saint Germain and AS Roma?
Our prediction for the Paris Saint Germain–AS Roma match is: over 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Paris Saint Germain to win (51% confidence); Paris Saint Germain to win or draw (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (76% confidence)
Paris Saint Germain
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Paris Saint Germain scored an average of 3.60 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.
AS Roma
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AS Roma scored an average of 3.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Paris Saint Germain and AS Roma average 7.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Hakimi contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.66/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Malen contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.21/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Paris Saint Germain records a mean of 7.20/10 versus 6.74/10 for AS Roma.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Luis Enrique for Paris Saint Germain and G. Gasperini for AS Roma. The latest recorded formations are Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, Paris Saint Germain averaged 65.1% possession and 20.8 shots per match (10.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 13 matches, AS Roma averaged 56.6% possession and 18.2 shots (6.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 6 recent home matches, Paris Saint Germain recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 2.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, AS Roma recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.71 points, 2.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This UEFA Champions League fixture takes place at Parc des Princes (Paris).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Paris Saint Germain: 2.5 points per home match compared with 2.7 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.