What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and AS Roma?
Our prediction for the Parma–AS Roma match is: AS Roma to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
AS Roma to win (45% confidence); over 2.5 goals (59% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)
Parma
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Parma scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
AS Roma
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AS Roma scored an average of 3.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Parma scored 1.00 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; AS Roma scored 3.40 and conceded 2.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Fabbian contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.61/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Malen contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.21/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, AS Roma records a mean of 6.74/10 versus 6.56/10 for Parma.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists G. Gasperini as coach of AS Roma. The latest recorded formations are Parma in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and AS Roma in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Parma averaged 39.0% possession and 10.3 shots per match (3.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 13 matches, AS Roma averaged 56.6% possession and 18.2 shots (6.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Parma recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, AS Roma recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.71 points, 2.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Parma: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.6 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.