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Portimonense
W L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

Academica
W W L D
1X2 Academica 39%
O/U Under 2.5 87%
DC X2 79%
BTTS No 49%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Portimonense 32% Draw 29% Academica 39%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Portimonense and Academica?

Our prediction for the Portimonense–Academica match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Academica to win (39% confidence); Academica to win or draw (79% confidence); both teams to score: no (49% confidence)

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists António Folha as coach of Portimonense. The latest recorded formations are Portimonense in 3-4-3 (Nov 8, 2026) and Academica in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 4 recent matches with possession and shot data, Portimonense averaged 56.0% possession and 13.3 shots per match (4.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 4 matches, Academica averaged 46.3% possession and 10.8 shots (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Segunda Liga fixture takes place at Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Portimonense, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.16 — 1.32 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Portimonense
X29%Draw
239%Academica
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes51%
No49%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 72%U 28%
O/U 2.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 3.5O 24%U 76%
O/U 4.5O 11%U 89%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Portimonense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Portimonense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 89%

A different goal line with 89% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 69%U 31%
1.5O 32%U 68%
2.5O 11%U 89%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Academica
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Academica.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Portimonense27%
Academica31%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Portimonense17%
Academica22%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Portimonense45%
Academica55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Portimonense
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 18%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 29%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 21%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Academica
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 21%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 29%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 18%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.90%
#20-110.22%
#30-09.14%
#41-08.88%
#51-28.44%
Combined Top 550.58%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Portimonense + BTTS14%
Academica + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Portimonense Season

Rank#10
Points14
Matches Left28

Academica Season

Rank#6
Points16
Matches Left28

Portimonense Last 5

FC Porto B 0 - 1
Torreense 0 - 0
Sporting CP B 3 - 0
Amarante 1 - 2

Academica Last 5

Amarante 1 - 1
Vizela 2 - 1
Leixoes 4 - 0
União de Leiria 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Portimonense: 2 Draws: 2 Academica: 1
2021 Portimonense 2 - 1 Academica
2019 Academica 2 - 1 Portimonense
2019 Portimonense 2 - 0 Academica
2017 Portimonense 0 - 0 Academica
2016 Academica 0 - 0 Portimonense

Form Analysis

Portimonense
W D L W L
Academica
D L W W L

Portimonense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored2
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Academica Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored10
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Portimonense
0.49
Academica
0.74

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Portimonense vs Academica is a Football football match on November 15, 2026 at Estádio Municipal de Portimão. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDLWL) for Portimonense and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DLWWL) for Academica. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 15 Nov 2026
📍 Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Portimonense is currently #10 with 14 points from 10 matches, while Academica is #6 with 16 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Portimonense won 2, 2 were drawn and Academica won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Portimonense at 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Academica at 2.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.49 for Portimonense and 0.74 for Academica.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.