OpWin.

Home

Puebla

D L L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
1X2 Atletico San Luis 45%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC X2 82%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Puebla 32% Draw 23% Atletico San Luis 45%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Puebla and Atletico San Luis?

Our prediction for the Puebla–Atletico San Luis match is: Atletico San Luis to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Atletico San Luis to win (45% confidence); over 1.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Puebla

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Puebla scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Atletico San Luis

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atletico San Luis scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Puebla scored 1.40 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Atletico San Luis scored 0.80 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, O. Moreno contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.22/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, F. Mora contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Atletico San Luis records a mean of 6.77/10 versus 6.57/10 for Puebla.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Puebla in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 9, 2026) and Atletico San Luis in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Puebla averaged 46.1% possession and 12.1 shots per match (3.9 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, Atletico San Luis averaged 53.3% possession and 13.7 shots (4.4 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Puebla recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per match. Away from home, Atletico San Luis recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 2.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla).

Puebla's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.39 — 1.62 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Puebla
X26%Draw
242%Atletico San Luis
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Puebla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Puebla.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Atletico San Luis
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atletico San Luis.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Puebla20%
Atletico San Luis25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Puebla14%
Atletico San Luis19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Puebla43%
Atletico San Luis57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Puebla
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Atletico San Luis
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.00%
#21-28.97%
#32-17.70%
#40-17.30%
#50-26.45%
Combined Top 542.42%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Puebla + BTTS18%
Atletico San Luis + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Puebla Season

Rank#13
Points19
Matches Left22

Atletico San Luis Season

Rank#14
Points19
Matches Left22

Puebla Last 5

Club Queretaro 0 - 2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 2
Atlas 4 - 3
Monterrey 1 - 4
Club Tijuana 0 - 0

Atletico San Luis Last 5

FC Juarez 0 - 1
Atlas 0 - 1
Atlante FC 0 - 1
Club Queretaro 2 - 1
Toluca 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Puebla: 1 Draws: 0 Atletico San Luis: 4
2026 Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Puebla
2025 Puebla 0 - 2 Atletico San Luis
2025 Puebla 1 - 2 Atletico San Luis
2024 Atletico San Luis 2 - 0 Puebla
2024 Atletico San Luis 4 - 0 Puebla

Form Analysis

Puebla
W L L L D
Atletico San Luis
L L W W D

Puebla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded12
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.71

Atletico San Luis Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.43
Goals scored10
Goals conceded11
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.57

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Puebla
0.96
Atletico San Luis
1.92

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Puebla vs Atletico San Luis is a Football football match on November 20, 2026 at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLD) for Puebla and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWWD) for Atletico San Luis. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 20 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Puebla is currently #13 with 19 points from 16 matches, while Atletico San Luis is #14 with 19 points from 16. Recent head-to-head history: Puebla won 1, 0 were drawn and Atletico San Luis won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Puebla at 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per home match, versus Atletico San Luis at 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.96 for Puebla and 1.92 for Atletico San Luis.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.