OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Real Sociedad

W W W L W
1X2 Racing Santander 44%
O/U Over 2.5 79%
DC X2 71%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Racing Santander 44% Draw 22% Real Sociedad 34%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Racing Santander and Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for the Racing Santander–Real Sociedad match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Racing Santander to win (44% confidence); Real Sociedad to win or draw (71% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Racing Santander

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Racing Santander scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Real Sociedad

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Real Sociedad scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Racing Santander and Real Sociedad average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Zabiri contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.34/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, O. Óskarsson contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.52/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list José Alberto López for Racing Santander and Sergio Francisco for Real Sociedad. The latest recorded formations are Racing Santander in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Real Sociedad in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Racing Santander averaged 51.4% possession and 13.2 shots per match (5.0 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 11 matches, Real Sociedad averaged 51.9% possession and 14.1 shots (4.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Racing Santander recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Real Sociedad recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.86 points, 2.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This La Liga fixture takes place at Estadio El Sardinero (Santander).

Recent results show that Racing Santander have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 0.6 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.66 — 1.72 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Racing Santander
X24%Draw
239%Real Sociedad
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 44%U 56%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Racing Santander
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Racing Santander.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Real Sociedad
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Sociedad.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Racing Santander18%
Real Sociedad19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Racing Santander14%
Real Sociedad15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Racing Santander49%
Real Sociedad51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Racing Santander
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 18%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 24%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Real Sociedad
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 24%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 18%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.53%
#21-28.33%
#32-18.06%
#42-26.92%
#50-15.24%
Combined Top 539.08%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Racing Santander + BTTS23%
Real Sociedad + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

Racing Santander Season

Rank#10
Points14
Matches Left26

Real Sociedad Season

Rank#5
Points22
Matches Left26

Racing Santander Last 5

Malaga 1 - 2
Real Madrid 0 - 3
Espanyol 2 - 1
Osasuna 2 - 0
Valencia 2 - 2

Real Sociedad Last 5

Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0
Athletic Club 2 - 1
Levante 2 - 1
Malaga 2 - 5
Deportivo La Coruna 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Racing Santander: 1 Draws: 2 Real Sociedad: 2
2026 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Racing Santander
2012 Real Sociedad 3 - 0 Racing Santander
2011 Racing Santander 0 - 0 Real Sociedad
2011 Racing Santander 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
2010 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Racing Santander

Form Analysis

Racing Santander
W L W L D
Real Sociedad
W L W W W

Racing Santander Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Real Sociedad Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.17
Goals scored13
Goals conceded13
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Racing Santander
1.84
Real Sociedad
2.46

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad is a La Liga football match on November 22, 2026 at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WLWLD) for Racing Santander and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWW) for Real Sociedad. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Standings & Context

In the La Liga standings, Racing Santander is currently #10 with 14 points from 12 matches, while Real Sociedad is #5 with 22 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Racing Santander won 1, 2 were drawn and Real Sociedad won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Racing Santander at 1.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per home match, versus Real Sociedad at 2.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.84 for Racing Santander and 2.46 for Real Sociedad.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.