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RB Leipzig
L L W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 3-1
Away

FC Augsburg
L D L D L
1X2 RB Leipzig 60%
O/U Over 2.5 79%
DC 1X 84%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
RB Leipzig 60% Draw 21% FC Augsburg 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg?

Our prediction for the RB Leipzig–FC Augsburg match is: RB Leipzig to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

RB Leipzig to win (60% confidence); over 2.5 goals (79% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

RB Leipzig

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, RB Leipzig scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

FC Augsburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC Augsburg scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): RB Leipzig scored 2.00 and conceded 2.60 per match across 5 covered games; FC Augsburg scored 1.80 and conceded 2.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Nusa contributed 2 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.37/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Rieder contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.02/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, RB Leipzig records a mean of 6.84/10 versus 6.49/10 for FC Augsburg.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Thorup as coach of FC Augsburg. The latest recorded formations are RB Leipzig in 4-3-3 (Nov 4, 2026) and FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, RB Leipzig averaged 49.8% possession and 15.5 shots per match (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, FC Augsburg averaged 47.4% possession and 16.3 shots (5.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, RB Leipzig recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 3.50 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per match. Away from home, FC Augsburg recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 3.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Leipzig Red Bull Arena (Leipzig).

Recent results show that RB Leipzig have a stronger record at home than away: 5 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 0.5 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.95 — 1.55 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%RB Leipzig
X23%Draw
230%FC Augsburg
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 68%U 32%
O/U 3.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

RB Leipzig
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for RB Leipzig.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 86%U 14%
1.5O 58%U 42%
2.5O 31%U 69%
3.5O 13%U 87%
FC Augsburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC Augsburg.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

RB Leipzig21%
FC Augsburg14%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

RB Leipzig18%
FC Augsburg11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

RB Leipzig61%
FC Augsburg39%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

RB Leipzig
-1.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
-1W 27%P 20%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 23%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
FC Augsburg
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 23%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 20%L 27%
+1.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-19.79%
#22-18.87%
#31-27.06%
#42-26.89%
#53-15.77%
Combined Top 538.38%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

RB Leipzig + BTTS29%
FC Augsburg + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

RB Leipzig Season

Rank#4
Points15
Matches Left26

FC Augsburg Season

Rank#10
Points9
Matches Left26

RB Leipzig Last 5

Manchester City 2 - 3
FC Schalke 04 0 - 2
SV Elversberg 4 - 0
Real Madrid 4 - 1
Bayern München 6 - 1

FC Augsburg Last 5

SC Freiburg 1 - 2
Union Berlin 1 - 1
SV Elversberg 4 - 3
Bayern München 2 - 2
Werder Bremen 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig: 0 Draws: 2 FC Augsburg: 3
2026 RB Leipzig 2 - 1 FC Augsburg
2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 6 RB Leipzig
2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
2024 RB Leipzig 4 - 0 FC Augsburg
2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 2 RB Leipzig

Form Analysis

RB Leipzig
W W L W L
FC Augsburg
L D L D L

RB Leipzig Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
4.50
Goals scored18
Goals conceded0
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.00

FC Augsburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored9
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Leipzig
3.09
FC Augsburg
1.46

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg is a Bundesliga football match on November 7, 2026 at Red Bull Arena. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLWL) for RB Leipzig and 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LDLDL) for FC Augsburg. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Red Bull Arena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, RB Leipzig is currently #4 with 15 points from 8 matches, while FC Augsburg is #10 with 9 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: RB Leipzig won 0, 2 were drawn and FC Augsburg won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows RB Leipzig at 4.50 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per home match, versus FC Augsburg at 3.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.09 for RB Leipzig and 1.46 for FC Augsburg.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.