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Real Sociedad II
L L L W D
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Sporting Gijon
W W L W L
1X2 Real Sociedad II 46%
O/U Over 1.5 76%
DC X2 72%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Real Sociedad II 46% Draw 20% Sporting Gijon 33%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad II and Sporting Gijon?

Our prediction for the Real Sociedad II–Sporting Gijon match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Real Sociedad II to win (46% confidence); Sporting Gijon to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Real Sociedad II

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Real Sociedad II scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Sporting Gijon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sporting Gijon scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Real Sociedad II and Sporting Gijon average 2.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Lander Astiazarán contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.98/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Guille Rosas contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.11/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Iosu Rivas for Real Sociedad II and Asier Garitano for Sporting Gijon. The latest recorded formations are Real Sociedad II in 4-4-2 (Nov 9, 2026) and Sporting Gijon in 4-4-2 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Real Sociedad II averaged 45.5% possession and 13.3 shots per match (3.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 10 matches, Sporting Gijon averaged 51.5% possession and 13.6 shots (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Real Sociedad II recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.80 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Sporting Gijon recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta (San Sebastian).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Real Sociedad II: 0.8 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.47 — 1.54 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Real Sociedad II
X26%Draw
239%Sporting Gijon
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Real Sociedad II
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Sociedad II.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Sporting Gijon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sporting Gijon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Real Sociedad II21%
Sporting Gijon23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Real Sociedad II16%
Sporting Gijon17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Real Sociedad II48%
Sporting Gijon52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Real Sociedad II
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Sporting Gijon
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.04%
#21-28.58%
#32-18.17%
#40-16.99%
#51-06.64%
Combined Top 542.42%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Real Sociedad II + BTTS20%
Sporting Gijon + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Real Sociedad II Season

Rank#17
Points12
Matches Left25

Sporting Gijon Season

Rank#7
Points22
Matches Left25

Real Sociedad II Last 5

Sabadell 0 - 0
Girona 1 - 0
Las Palmas 1 - 0
Almeria 2 - 4
Celta de Vigo II 4 - 1

Sporting Gijon Last 5

Valladolid 1 - 2
AD Ceuta FC 0 - 2
Castellón 4 - 0
Albacete 2 - 1
Cadiz 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Real Sociedad II: 3 Draws: 0 Sporting Gijon: 2
2026 Sporting Gijon 1 - 0 Real Sociedad II
2025 Real Sociedad II 0 - 1 Sporting Gijon
2022 Real Sociedad II 2 - 1 Sporting Gijon
2021 Sporting Gijon 0 - 1 Real Sociedad II
2021 Sporting Gijon 0 - 2 Real Sociedad II

Form Analysis

Real Sociedad II
D W L L L
Sporting Gijon
L W L W W

Real Sociedad II Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Sporting Gijon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded7
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad II
1.16
Sporting Gijon
1.52

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijon is a Football football match on November 14, 2026 at Instalaciones de Zubieta. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DWLLL) for Real Sociedad II and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Sporting Gijon. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 14 Nov 2026
📍 Instalaciones de Zubieta

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Real Sociedad II is currently #17 with 12 points from 13 matches, while Sporting Gijon is #7 with 22 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Real Sociedad II won 3, 0 were drawn and Sporting Gijon won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Real Sociedad II at 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Sporting Gijon at 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.16 for Real Sociedad II and 1.52 for Sporting Gijon.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.