OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Lyon

W L D
1X2 Real Sociedad 56%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC 1X 81%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Real Sociedad 56% Draw 22% Lyon 21%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Real Sociedad Lyon
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT Real Sociedad · 6.0' · 0 Lyon · 6.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 10.0' · 0 Lyon · 10.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 14.0' · 0 Lyon · 14.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 18.0' · 0 Lyon · 18.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 22.0' · 0 Lyon · 22.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 28.0' · 1 Lyon · 28.0' · 1.1 Real Sociedad · 32.0' · 2.25 Lyon · 32.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 37.0' · 2.1 Lyon · 37.0' · 2.1 Real Sociedad · 41.0' · 1 Lyon · 41.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 44.0' · 0 Lyon · 44.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 48.0' · 0 Lyon · 48.0' · 8.35 Real Sociedad · 45.0' · 0 Lyon · 45.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 45.0' · 0 Lyon · 45.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 45.0' · 0 Lyon · 45.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 46.0' · 0 Lyon · 46.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 50.0' · 2.25 Lyon · 50.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 54.0' · 1 Lyon · 54.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 60.0' · 2.1 Lyon · 60.0' · 3.25 Real Sociedad · 65.0' · 3.35 Lyon · 65.0' · 1 Real Sociedad · 70.0' · 0 Lyon · 70.0' · 2.25 Real Sociedad · 74.0' · 5.45 Lyon · 74.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 78.0' · 0 Lyon · 78.0' · 1.1 Real Sociedad · 82.0' · 0 Lyon · 82.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 86.0' · 1 Lyon · 86.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 90.0' · 0 Lyon · 90.0' · 0 Real Sociedad · 90.0' · 0 Lyon · 90.0' · 3.35 Goal · 28' · Orri Steinn Óskarsson Normal GoalG Card · 38' · Kail Boudache C Substitution · 45' · Mamadou Sarr Jon Martin ↔ Goal · 54' · Corentin Tolisso Normal GoalG Card · 61' · Gonçalo Guedes C Substitution · 66' · Gonçalo Guedes Job Ochieng ↔ Substitution · 67' · Keito Nakamura Julien Duranville ↔ Substitution · 75' · Mads Bidstrup Noah Teye Nartey ↔ Card · 77' · Ander Barrenetxea C Substitution · 79' · Orri Steinn Óskarsson Luka Sučić ↔ Substitution · 79' · Ander Barrenetxea Pablo Marin ↔ Card · 82' · Julien Duranville C Card · 87' · Dominik Greif C Card · 89' · Yangel Herrera C Substitution · 89' · Kail Boudache Nicolás Tagliafico ↔ Substitution · 89' · Khalis Merah Alejandro Gomes Rodríguez ↔ Card · 90' · Abner Vinicius C

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 07:39 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Real Sociedad
X26%Draw
232%Lyon
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Real Sociedad
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Sociedad.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Lyon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lyon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Real Sociedad26%
Lyon20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Real Sociedad20%
Lyon14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Real Sociedad58%
Lyon42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Real Sociedad
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 21%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 32%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Lyon
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 69%
0W 32%P 26%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 21%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.00%
#22-19.04%
#31-27.59%
#41-07.53%
#52-06.63%
Combined Top 542.79%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Real Sociedad + BTTS23%
Lyon + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

28' ⚽ Orri Steinn Óskarsson
38' 🟥 Kail Boudache
45' 🔄 In: Jon Martin
54' ⚽ Corentin Tolisso
61' 🟥 Gonçalo Guedes
66' 🔄 In: Job Ochieng
67' 🔄 In: Julien Duranville
75' 🔄 In: Noah Teye Nartey
77' 🟥 Ander Barrenetxea
79' 🔄 In: Luka Sučić
79' 🔄 In: Pablo Marin
82' 🟥 Julien Duranville
87' 🟥 Dominik Greif
89' 🟥 Yangel Herrera
89' 🔄 In: Nicolás Tagliafico
89' 🔄 In: Alejandro Gomes Rodríguez
90' 🟥 Abner Vinicius

Lineups

Real Sociedad Home
  • Unai Marrero
  • J. Aramburu
  • Zubeldia
  • M. Sarr
  • Sergio Gómez
  • Barrenetxea
  • Jon Gorrotxategi
  • Y. Herrera
  • Gonçalo Guedes
  • Mikel Oyarzabal
  • O. Óskarsson
Lyon Away
  • D. Greif
  • Z. Athekame
  • F. Bacher
  • R. Kluivert
  • Abner
  • M. Bidstrup
  • T. Tessmann
  • C. Tolisso
  • K. Boudache
  • K. Merah
  • Keito Nakamura

Real Sociedad Season

Rank#20
Points5
Matches Left34

Lyon Season

Rank#13
Points7
Matches Left34

Real Sociedad Last 5

Lyon 1 - 1
Lillestrom 0 - 6
Union St. Gilloise 1 - 1

Lyon Last 5

Real Sociedad 1 - 1
1899 Hoffenheim 3 - 0
Crystal Palace 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Real Sociedad: 0 Draws: 0 Lyon: 2
2013 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Lyon
2013 Lyon 0 - 2 Real Sociedad

Form Analysis

Real Sociedad
D W D L
Lyon
D L W W

Real Sociedad Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded3
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Lyon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Match Statistics

11Shots12
4Shots on Target4
5Corners6
47%Possession53%
3Yellow Cards4

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Sociedad
1.65
Lyon
0.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Real Sociedad vs Lyon is a Europa League football match on November 5, 2026 at Reale Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDL) for Real Sociedad and 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: DLWW) for Lyon. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Reale Arena

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Real Sociedad is currently #20 with 5 points from 4 matches, while Lyon is #13 with 7 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: Real Sociedad won 0, 0 were drawn and Lyon won 2 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Real Sociedad at 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Lyon at 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.65 for Real Sociedad and 0.85 for Lyon. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.