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River Plate
D W W L W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

Lanus
W W D D D
1X2 River Plate 38%
O/U Under 2.5 78%
DC X2 73%
BTTS Yes 55%
OpWin AI Probabilities
River Plate 38% Draw 27% Lanus 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between River Plate and Lanus?

Our prediction for the River Plate–Lanus match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

River Plate to win (38% confidence); Lanus to win or draw (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (55% confidence)

River Plate

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, River Plate scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

Lanus

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lanus scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Á. Correa contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.41/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Marcich contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list M. Gallardo for River Plate and M. Pellegrino for Lanus. The latest recorded formations are River Plate in 4-3-1-2 (Nov 5, 2026) and Lanus in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, River Plate averaged 62.0% possession and 17.5 shots per match (5.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Lanus averaged 51.8% possession and 12.4 shots (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, River Plate recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Lanus recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.80 points, 1.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for River Plate: 2.0 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.30 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%River Plate
X28%Draw
237%Lanus
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes55%
No45%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 75%U 25%
O/U 2.5O 50%U 50%
O/U 3.5O 28%U 72%
O/U 4.5O 13%U 87%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

River Plate
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for River Plate.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 37%U 63%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%
Lanus
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lanus.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

River Plate26%
Lanus27%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

River Plate18%
Lanus19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

River Plate48%
Lanus52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

River Plate
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 19%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 28%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 20%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Lanus
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 20%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 28%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 19%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.48%
#20-18.64%
#31-28.39%
#41-08.20%
#52-18.01%
Combined Top 546.72%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

River Plate + BTTS17%
Lanus + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

River Plate Season

Rank#7
Points55
Matches Left6

Lanus Season

Rank#9
Points50
Matches Left6

River Plate Last 5

Aldosivi 0 - 2
Boca Juniors 1 - 0
Racing Club 1 - 0
Belgrano Cordoba 0 - 3
Sarmiento Junin 1 - 1

Lanus Last 5

Central Cordoba de Santiago 1 - 1
Gimnasia M. 1 - 1
Banfield 1 - 1
Platense 0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

River Plate: 3 Draws: 2 Lanus: 0
2025 Lanus 1 - 1 River Plate
2025 River Plate 1 - 0 Lanus
2024 River Plate 2 - 2 Lanus
2023 Lanus 0 - 2 River Plate
2022 River Plate 2 - 1 Lanus

Form Analysis

River Plate
W L W W D
Lanus
D D D W W

River Plate Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Lanus Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

River Plate
0.72
Lanus
0.88

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

River Plate vs Lanus is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio Mâs Monumental. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWD) for River Plate and 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DDDWW) for Lanus. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Mâs Monumental

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, River Plate is currently #7 with 55 points from 32 matches, while Lanus is #9 with 50 points from 32. Recent head-to-head history: River Plate won 3, 2 were drawn and Lanus won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows River Plate at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Lanus at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.72 for River Plate and 0.88 for Lanus.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.