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San Diego
D D D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Sporting Kansas City
L L L L D
1X2 San Diego 51%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
San Diego 51% Draw 20% Sporting Kansas City 30%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between San Diego and Sporting Kansas City?

Our prediction for the San Diego–Sporting Kansas City match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

San Diego to win (51% confidence); San Diego to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

San Diego

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, San Diego scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Sporting Kansas City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sporting Kansas City scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, San Diego and Sporting Kansas City average 2.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Dreyer contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.99/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Calheira contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.88/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists M. Varas as coach of San Diego. The latest recorded formations are San Diego in 4-3-3 (Oct 31, 2026) and Sporting Kansas City in 4-4-2 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, San Diego averaged 57.2% possession and 13.2 shots per match (4.6 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Sporting Kansas City averaged 47.6% possession and 13.9 shots (5.4 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, San Diego recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Sporting Kansas City recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 1.40 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for San Diego: 1.0 points per home match compared with 0.9 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.79 — 1.64 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%San Diego
X24%Draw
235%Sporting Kansas City
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

San Diego
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for San Diego.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Sporting Kansas City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sporting Kansas City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

San Diego19%
Sporting Kansas City17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

San Diego16%
Sporting Kansas City13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

San Diego54%
Sporting Kansas City46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

San Diego
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Sporting Kansas City
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.30%
#22-18.50%
#31-27.77%
#42-26.96%
#51-05.22%
Combined Top 538.75%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

San Diego + BTTS26%
Sporting Kansas City + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

San Diego Season

Rank#13
Points38
Matches Left5

Sporting Kansas City Season

Rank#15
Points23
Matches Left5

San Diego Last 5

St. Louis City 0 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 4 - 1
Seattle Sounders 2 - 2
Los Angeles Galaxy 2 - 2
Houston Dynamo 3 - 3

Sporting Kansas City Last 5

FC Dallas 1 - 1
Minnesota United FC 3 - 1
Austin 1 - 2
Real Salt Lake 1 - 3
Nashville SC 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

San Diego: 2 Draws: 1 Sporting Kansas City: 0
2026 Sporting Kansas City 0 - 1 San Diego
2025 Sporting Kansas City 0 - 2 San Diego
2025 San Diego 0 - 0 Sporting Kansas City

Form Analysis

San Diego
W L D D D
Sporting Kansas City
D L L L L

San Diego Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.31
Goals scored37
Goals conceded29
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.81

Sporting Kansas City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.94
Goals scored15
Goals conceded46
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.88

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

San Diego
2.27
Sporting Kansas City
1.92

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at their home ground. Recent form is 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDDD) for San Diego and 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: DLLLL) for Sporting Kansas City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, San Diego is currently #13 with 38 points from 33 matches, while Sporting Kansas City is #15 with 23 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: San Diego won 2, 1 were drawn and Sporting Kansas City won 0 across the last 3 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows San Diego at 2.31 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per home match, versus Sporting Kansas City at 0.94 goals scored and 2.88 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.27 for San Diego and 1.92 for Sporting Kansas City.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.