OpWin.

Home

San Lorenzo

L L W W D
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Platense

L D D L W
1X2 San Lorenzo 37%
O/U Under 2.5 63%
DC X2 69%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
San Lorenzo 37% Draw 27% Platense 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between San Lorenzo and Platense?

Our prediction for the San Lorenzo–Platense match is: Platense to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

San Lorenzo to win (37% confidence); under 2.5 goals (63% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

San Lorenzo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, San Lorenzo scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Platense

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Platense scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): San Lorenzo scored 0.60 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Platense scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Facundo Gulli contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.87/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Zapiola contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.03/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list M. Russo for San Lorenzo and F. Orsi for Platense. The latest recorded formations are San Lorenzo in 3-4-1-2 (Oct 24, 2026) and Platense in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 23, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, San Lorenzo averaged 42.8% possession and 11.7 shots per match (3.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Platense averaged 52.2% possession and 14.3 shots (4.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, San Lorenzo recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Platense recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture takes place at Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for San Lorenzo: 1.3 points per home match compared with 1.3 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.40 — 1.45 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%San Lorenzo
X27%Draw
238%Platense
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 22%
O/U 2.5O 54%U 46%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

San Lorenzo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for San Lorenzo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Platense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Platense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

San Lorenzo23%
Platense25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

San Lorenzo17%
Platense18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

San Lorenzo49%
Platense51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

San Lorenzo
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 27%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 20%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Platense
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 20%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 27%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.67%
#21-28.47%
#32-18.22%
#40-17.65%
#51-07.40%
Combined Top 544.41%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

San Lorenzo + BTTS19%
Platense + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

San Lorenzo Season

Rank#9
Points18
Matches Left24

Platense Season

Rank#12
Points14
Matches Left24

San Lorenzo Last 5

Newells Old Boys 0 - 0
Estudiantes L.P. 1 - 2
Deportivo Riestra 1 - 0
Defensa Y Justicia 3 - 0
Boca Juniors 0 - 2

Platense Last 5

Gimnasia M. 1 - 2
Lanus 0 - 1
Argentinos JRS 1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2
Newells Old Boys 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

San Lorenzo
D W W L L
Platense
W L D D L

San Lorenzo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.57
Goals scored4
Goals conceded4
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.57

Platense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.29
Goals scored9
Goals conceded9
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.29

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

San Lorenzo
1.01
Platense
1.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

San Lorenzo vs Platense is a Football football match on November 8, 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegaín. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWWLL) for San Lorenzo and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WLDDL) for Platense. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, San Lorenzo is currently #9 with 18 points from 14 matches, while Platense is #12 with 14 points from 14. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows San Lorenzo at 0.57 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per home match, versus Platense at 1.29 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.01 for San Lorenzo and 1.15 for Platense.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.