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Sao Paulo

W W D L D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Corinthians

L D L W D
1X2 Sao Paulo 50%
O/U Over 2.5 58%
DC 1X 84%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sao Paulo 50% Draw 25% Corinthians 24%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.75 — 1.40 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Sao Paulo
X25%Draw
230%Corinthians
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sao Paulo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sao Paulo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Corinthians
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Corinthians.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sao Paulo25%
Corinthians17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sao Paulo20%
Corinthians12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sao Paulo60%
Corinthians40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sao Paulo
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 25%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Corinthians
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 25%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.31%
#22-19.18%
#31-27.30%
#41-06.90%
#52-06.58%
Combined Top 541.27%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sao Paulo + BTTS26%
Corinthians + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

31' 🟥 Djhordney
31' 🟥 M. Pereira
41' 🔄 In: Vitinho
45' 🟥 Andre Ramalho
46' 🔄 In: Jonathan Calleri
46' 🔄 In: Pablo Maia
52' 🟥 P. Milans
60' 🟥 Pedro Lima
61' 🟥 Newton
62' 🔄 In: M. Depay
62' 🔄 In: A. Carrillo
67' 🟥 M. Depay
67' 🟥 Luciano
71' 🔄 In: Ferreira
82' 🟥 Yuri Alberto
85' 🔄 In: G. Santana
86' 🔄 In: Pedro Ferreira
89' 🟥 Ferreira

Lineups

Sao Paulo Home
  • Rafael
  • Newton
  • Robert Arboleda
  • Rafael Tolói
  • Pedro Lima
  • Damián Bobadilla
  • Djhordney
  • Iago Borduchi
  • Artur
  • Lucas Moura
  • Luciano
Corinthians Away
  • Hugo Souza
  • Pedro Milans
  • André Ramalho
  • Gustavo Henrique
  • Fabrizio Angileri
  • André Luiz
  • Matheus Bidu
  • Kaio César
  • Rodrigo Garro
  • Breno Bidon
  • Yuri Alberto

Sao Paulo Season

Rank#10
Points44
Matches Left4

Corinthians Season

Rank#17
Points37
Matches Left4

Sao Paulo Last 5

Corinthians 0 - 0
Bahia 3 - 2
Mirassol 1 - 1
Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0
Vitoria 2 - 1

Corinthians Last 5

Sao Paulo 0 - 0
Mirassol 2 - 0
Vasco DA Gama 3 - 2
Vitoria 1 - 1
Palmeiras 4 - 1

Head-to-Head

Sao Paulo: 2 Draws: 1 Corinthians: 2
2026 Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
2026 Corinthians 1 - 1 Sao Paulo
2025 Corinthians 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Corinthians
2025 Sao Paulo 3 - 1 Corinthians

Form Analysis

Sao Paulo
D L D W W
Corinthians
D W L D L

Sao Paulo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.47
Goals scored25
Goals conceded13
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.76

Corinthians Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.06
Goals scored18
Goals conceded25
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.47

Match Statistics

16Shots18
5Shots on Target4
6Corners8
52%Possession48%
4Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Sao Paulo
2.11
Corinthians
0.94

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sao Paulo vs Corinthians is a Brasileirão football match on November 4, 2026 at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi). Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDWW) for Sao Paulo and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLDL) for Corinthians. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi)

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Sao Paulo is currently #10 with 44 points from 34 matches, while Corinthians is #17 with 37 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Sao Paulo won 2, 1 were drawn and Corinthians won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sao Paulo at 1.47 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per home match, versus Corinthians at 1.06 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.11 for Sao Paulo and 0.94 for Corinthians. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 0 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.