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SC Freiburg
D W L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 3-0
Away

Union Berlin
L W D D D
1X2 SC Freiburg 61%
O/U Over 2.5 73%
DC 1X 95%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
SC Freiburg 61% Draw 20% Union Berlin 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between SC Freiburg and Union Berlin?

Our prediction for the SC Freiburg–Union Berlin match is: SC Freiburg to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

SC Freiburg to win (61% confidence); over 2.5 goals (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

SC Freiburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Union Berlin

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Union Berlin scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): SC Freiburg scored 1.60 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Union Berlin scored 0.60 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Scherhant contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Haberer contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.33/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Union Berlin in 3-4-1-2 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, SC Freiburg averaged 50.3% possession and 14.9 shots per match (4.7 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 7 matches, Union Berlin averaged 40.4% possession and 10.0 shots (2.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, SC Freiburg recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.25 points, 3.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Union Berlin recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 0.33 goals scored and 4.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Europa-Park-Stadion (Freiburg).

Recent results show that SC Freiburg have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 2.00 — 1.32 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

152%SC Freiburg
X23%Draw
225%Union Berlin
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

SC Freiburg
More model-supported option Over 0.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SC Freiburg.

Possible alternative Under 3.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 87%U 13%
1.5O 59%U 41%
2.5O 32%U 68%
3.5O 14%U 86%
Union Berlin
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union Berlin.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

SC Freiburg27%
Union Berlin13%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

SC Freiburg22%
Union Berlin9%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

SC Freiburg68%
Union Berlin32%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

SC Freiburg
-1.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
-1W 31%P 21%L 48%
-0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
0W 52%P 23%L 25%
+0.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
+1W 75%P 14%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
Union Berlin
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 14%L 75%
-0.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
0W 25%P 23%L 52%
+0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
+1W 48%P 21%L 31%
+1.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.31%
#22-19.51%
#32-07.18%
#41-06.61%
#53-16.35%
Combined Top 539.96%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

SC Freiburg + BTTS30%
Union Berlin + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS19%

SC Freiburg Season

Rank#3
Points16
Matches Left26

Union Berlin Season

Rank#16
Points7
Matches Left26

SC Freiburg Last 5

FC Augsburg 1 - 2
Bayern München 1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1
FC Schalke 04 2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2

Union Berlin Last 5

1. FC Köln 1 - 1
FC Augsburg 1 - 1
Borussia Dortmund 0 - 0
SV Elversberg 1 - 0
Bayern München 7 - 0

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg: 0 Draws: 2 Union Berlin: 3
2026 SC Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin
2025 Union Berlin 0 - 0 SC Freiburg
2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 2 Union Berlin
2024 Union Berlin 0 - 0 SC Freiburg
2024 Union Berlin 2 - 1 SC Freiburg

Form Analysis

SC Freiburg
D W L L W
Union Berlin
L W D D D

SC Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored12
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Union Berlin Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.33
Goals scored1
Goals conceded12
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)4.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

SC Freiburg
3.40
Union Berlin
0.78

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin is a Bundesliga football match on November 8, 2026 at Europa-Park Stadion. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for SC Freiburg and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDDD) for Union Berlin. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 Europa-Park Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, SC Freiburg is currently #3 with 16 points from 8 matches, while Union Berlin is #16 with 7 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: SC Freiburg won 0, 2 were drawn and Union Berlin won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows SC Freiburg at 3.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Union Berlin at 0.33 goals scored and 4.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.40 for SC Freiburg and 0.78 for Union Berlin.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.