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Sheffield Utd

W D W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Watford

W L L W D
1X2 Sheffield Utd 54%
O/U Over 1.5 73%
DC 1X 89%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sheffield Utd 54% Draw 23% Watford 23%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sheffield Utd and Watford?

Our prediction for the Sheffield Utd–Watford match is: Sheffield Utd to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Sheffield Utd to win (54% confidence); over 1.5 goals (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

Sheffield Utd

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sheffield Utd scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Watford

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Watford scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Sheffield Utd scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Watford scored 1.00 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Sydie Peck contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, M. Boadu contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.03/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list C. Wilder for Sheffield Utd and P. Pezzolano for Watford. The latest recorded formations are Sheffield Utd in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026) and Watford in 5-3-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sheffield Utd averaged 47.4% possession and 12.6 shots per match (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Watford averaged 47.3% possession and 11.9 shots (3.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Sheffield Utd recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Watford recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.00 points, 0.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Championship fixture takes place at Bramall Lane (Sheffield).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Sheffield Utd: 1.8 points per home match compared with 1.5 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.70 — 1.27 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%Sheffield Utd
X25%Draw
228%Watford
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sheffield Utd
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sheffield Utd.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Watford
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Watford.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 72%U 28%
1.5O 36%U 64%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sheffield Utd28%
Watford18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sheffield Utd22%
Watford13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sheffield Utd62%
Watford38%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sheffield Utd
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 25%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 16%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Watford
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 16%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 25%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.92%
#22-19.37%
#31-08.06%
#42-07.35%
#51-27.05%
Combined Top 543.75%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sheffield Utd + BTTS24%
Watford + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sheffield Utd Season

Rank#10
Points22
Matches Left23

Watford Season

Rank#20
Points15
Matches Left23

Sheffield Utd Last 5

Charlton 2 - 1
Preston 2 - 3
Wrexham 1 - 0
Derby 1 - 1
Bristol City 0 - 1

Watford Last 5

Middlesbrough 0 - 0
Lincoln 1 - 0
Norwich 3 - 2
Wolves 1 - 0
Charlton 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Sheffield Utd: 5 Draws: 0 Watford: 0
2026 Watford 0 - 2 Sheffield Utd
2025 Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford
2025 Watford 1 - 2 Sheffield Utd
2024 Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford
2023 Sheffield Utd 1 - 0 Watford

Form Analysis

Sheffield Utd
L W W D W
Watford
D W L L W

Sheffield Utd Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.29
Goals scored9
Goals conceded7
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Watford Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.57
Goals scored4
Goals conceded14
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sheffield Utd
1.96
Watford
0.64

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sheffield Utd vs Watford is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Bramall Lane. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDW) for Sheffield Utd and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for Watford. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Bramall Lane

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sheffield Utd is currently #10 with 22 points from 15 matches, while Watford is #20 with 15 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Sheffield Utd won 5, 0 were drawn and Watford won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sheffield Utd at 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Watford at 0.57 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.96 for Sheffield Utd and 0.64 for Watford.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.