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Sporting Gijon
W W L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Las Palmas
L L W W W
1X2 Draw 24%
O/U Over 2.5 72%
DC 1X 63%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sporting Gijon 38% Draw 24% Las Palmas 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Gijon and Las Palmas?

Our prediction for the Sporting Gijon–Las Palmas match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

a draw (24% confidence); Sporting Gijon to win or draw (63% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Sporting Gijon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sporting Gijon scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Las Palmas

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Las Palmas scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Sporting Gijon and Las Palmas average 2.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Guille Rosas contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.11/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Jesé contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.10/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Las Palmas records a mean of 6.85/10 versus 6.54/10 for Sporting Gijon.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Asier Garitano as coach of Sporting Gijon. The latest recorded formations are Sporting Gijon in 4-4-2 (Nov 8, 2026) and Las Palmas in 4-3-3 (Nov 9, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sporting Gijon averaged 51.5% possession and 13.6 shots per match (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Las Palmas averaged 50.5% possession and 10.3 shots (3.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Sporting Gijon recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Las Palmas recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 1.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.59 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Sporting Gijon
X24%Draw
236%Las Palmas
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sporting Gijon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sporting Gijon.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Las Palmas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Las Palmas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sporting Gijon20%
Las Palmas19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sporting Gijon16%
Las Palmas14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sporting Gijon52%
Las Palmas48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sporting Gijon
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Las Palmas
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.94%
#22-18.50%
#31-28.06%
#42-26.77%
#51-05.75%
Combined Top 540.02%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sporting Gijon + BTTS24%
Las Palmas + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sporting Gijon Season

Rank#7
Points22
Matches Left25

Las Palmas Season

Rank#10
Points20
Matches Left25

Sporting Gijon Last 5

Valladolid 1 - 2
AD Ceuta FC 0 - 2
Castellón 4 - 0
Albacete 2 - 1
Cadiz 0 - 1

Las Palmas Last 5

Eldense 2 - 0
Oviedo 2 - 3
Real Sociedad II 1 - 0
Castellón 0 - 3
Mallorca 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Sporting Gijon: 0 Draws: 2 Las Palmas: 3
2026 Las Palmas 1 - 0 Sporting Gijon
2025 Sporting Gijon 0 - 0 Las Palmas
2023 Las Palmas 1 - 1 Sporting Gijon
2022 Sporting Gijon 0 - 1 Las Palmas
2022 Sporting Gijon 0 - 1 Las Palmas

Form Analysis

Sporting Gijon
L W L W W
Las Palmas
W W W L L

Sporting Gijon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded8
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14

Las Palmas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded13
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.17

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting Gijon
1.92
Las Palmas
1.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sporting Gijon vs Las Palmas is a Football football match on November 22, 2026 at Estadio Municipal El Molinón. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Sporting Gijon and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Las Palmas. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sporting Gijon is currently #7 with 22 points from 13 matches, while Las Palmas is #10 with 20 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Sporting Gijon won 0, 2 were drawn and Las Palmas won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sporting Gijon at 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per home match, versus Las Palmas at 1.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.92 for Sporting Gijon and 1.85 for Las Palmas.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.