OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Valladolid

W L L W W
1X2 Sporting Gijon 53%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC 1X 65%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sporting Gijon 53% Draw 21% Valladolid 26%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.58 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Sporting Gijon
X25%Draw
236%Valladolid
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sporting Gijon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sporting Gijon.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Valladolid
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Valladolid.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sporting Gijon22%
Valladolid21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sporting Gijon17%
Valladolid16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sporting Gijon52%
Valladolid49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sporting Gijon
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 62%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Valladolid
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 39%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.64%
#22-18.50%
#31-28.22%
#42-26.49%
#51-06.45%
Combined Top 541.30%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sporting Gijon + BTTS22%
Valladolid + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

4' ⚽ Julien Ponceau
8' 🟥 Hugo Guillamón
18' 🟥 Jorge Sáenz
32' 🟥 Stanko Jurić
39' ⚽ Tay Abed
43' 🟥 David Torres
45' 🟥 Iván Alejo
45' 🟥 Gaspar Campos
45' 🔄 In: Nacho Martín
45' 🔄 In: Diego Matabuena Álvarez
73' 🟥 Miguel Conde
73' 🔄 In: Nikita Iosifov
73' 🔄 In: Andres Ferrari
74' 🔄 In: Daniel Pérez Guerrero
74' 🔄 In: Luis Rodríguez Chacón
82' 🔄 In: Victor Barbera
82' 🔄 In: Álvaro Pérez Campo
82' 🔄 In: Mamadou Loum
83' ⚽ Guillermo Rosas
89' 🔄 In: Pablo Tomeo Félez
90' 🟥 Juan Otero
90' 🟥 Juan Otero

Lineups

Sporting Gijon Home
  • Rubén Yáñez
  • Guille Rosas
  • Pablo Vázquez
  • Jorge Sáenz
  • Andrés Cuenca
  • Hugo Guillamón
  • Álex Corredera
  • Enol Prendes
  • Gaspar Campos
  • J. Otero
  • M. Conde
Valladolid Away
  • Álvaro Aceves
  • Iván Alejo
  • Miguel Rubio
  • David Torres
  • Clerc
  • T. Ojeda
  • S. Jurić
  • J. Ponceau
  • T. Abed
  • Adrian Arnuncio
  • Víctor Fernández

Sporting Gijon Season

Rank#7
Points22
Matches Left25

Valladolid Season

Rank#12
Points18
Matches Left25

Sporting Gijon Last 5

Valladolid 1 - 2
AD Ceuta FC 0 - 2
Castellón 4 - 0
Albacete 2 - 1
Cadiz 0 - 1

Valladolid Last 5

Sporting Gijon 1 - 2
Leganes 4 - 3
Granada CF 2 - 1
Eldense 2 - 3
Albacete 5 - 0

Head-to-Head

Sporting Gijon: 1 Draws: 2 Valladolid: 2
2026 Sporting Gijon 2 - 4 Valladolid
2026 Sporting Gijon 2 - 2 Valladolid
2025 Valladolid 2 - 3 Sporting Gijon
2024 Sporting Gijon 1 - 1 Valladolid
2023 Valladolid 2 - 0 Sporting Gijon

Form Analysis

Sporting Gijon
L W L W W
Valladolid
W W L L W

Sporting Gijon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded8
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14

Valladolid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored7
Goals conceded10
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.43

Match Statistics

21Shots15
6Shots on Target6
9Corners6
63%Possession37%
4Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Sporting Gijon
1.51
Valladolid
1.41

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid is a Football football match on November 8, 2026 at Estadio Municipal El Molinón. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLWW) for Sporting Gijon and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLLW) for Valladolid. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Municipal El Molinón

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Sporting Gijon is currently #7 with 22 points from 13 matches, while Valladolid is #12 with 18 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Sporting Gijon won 1, 2 were drawn and Valladolid won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sporting Gijon at 1.00 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per home match, versus Valladolid at 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.51 for Sporting Gijon and 1.41 for Valladolid. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.