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Sunderland
W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

Jagiellonia
W L L
1X2 Sunderland 37%
O/U Under 2.5 88%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS No 48%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Sunderland 37% Draw 26% Jagiellonia 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Jagiellonia?

Our prediction for the Sunderland–Jagiellonia match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Sunderland to win (37% confidence); Sunderland to win or draw (77% confidence); both teams to score: no (48% confidence)

Sunderland

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sunderland scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Jagiellonia

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Jagiellonia scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.67 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Sunderland and Jagiellonia average 1.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Le Fée contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.66/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Rodrigo Conceição contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.86/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists R. Le Bris as coach of Sunderland. The latest recorded formations are Sunderland in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Jagiellonia in 4-3-3 (Nov 5, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Sunderland averaged 49.8% possession and 14.8 shots per match (4.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 3 matches, Jagiellonia averaged 45.0% possession and 9.7 shots (2.7 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This UEFA Europa League fixture takes place at Stadium of Light (Sunderland).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Sunderland: 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.27 — 1.22 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Sunderland
X29%Draw
234%Jagiellonia
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes52%
No48%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 72%U 28%
O/U 2.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 3.5O 24%U 76%
O/U 4.5O 11%U 89%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Sunderland
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sunderland.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 72%U 28%
1.5O 36%U 64%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%
Jagiellonia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Jagiellonia.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 71%U 29%
1.5O 34%U 66%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Sunderland29%
Jagiellonia28%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Sunderland20%
Jagiellonia19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Sunderland52%
Jagiellonia48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Sunderland
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 20%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 29%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 19%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Jagiellonia
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 19%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 29%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 20%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.83%
#21-09.74%
#30-19.29%
#40-08.96%
#52-18.15%
Combined Top 549.97%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Sunderland + BTTS16%
Jagiellonia + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS20%

Sunderland Season

Rank#11
Points7
Matches Left34

Jagiellonia Season

Rank#29
Points3
Matches Left34

Sunderland Last 5

Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 2
Lech Poznan 1 - 1
Torreense 1 - 2

Jagiellonia Last 5

Levski Sofia 1 - 0
Anderlecht 0 - 3
Ararat-Armenia 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Sunderland
L D W W
Jagiellonia
L L W L

Sunderland Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored1
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Jagiellonia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored1
Goals conceded3
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland
0.67
Jagiellonia
0.51

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Sunderland vs Jagiellonia is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Stadium of Light. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LDWW) for Sunderland and 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWL) for Jagiellonia. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Stadium of Light

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Sunderland is currently #11 with 7 points from 4 matches, while Jagiellonia is #29 with 3 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Sunderland at 0.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Jagiellonia at 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.67 for Sunderland and 0.51 for Jagiellonia.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.