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SV Elversberg
L W L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

SC Freiburg
W L L W W
1X2 SV Elversberg 41%
O/U Over 2.5 73%
DC 1X 64%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
SV Elversberg 41% Draw 24% SC Freiburg 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between SV Elversberg and SC Freiburg?

Our prediction for the SV Elversberg–SC Freiburg match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

SV Elversberg to win (41% confidence); SV Elversberg to win or draw (64% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

SV Elversberg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SV Elversberg scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

SC Freiburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, SV Elversberg and SC Freiburg average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Keidel contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.94/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Scherhant contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.82/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, SC Freiburg records a mean of 6.60/10 versus 6.41/10 for SV Elversberg.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists H. Steffen as coach of SV Elversberg. The latest recorded formations are SV Elversberg in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, SV Elversberg averaged 47.8% possession and 11.3 shots per match (4.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 8 matches, SC Freiburg averaged 51.4% possession and 15.5 shots (5.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, SV Elversberg recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.25 points, 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, SC Freiburg recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.75 points, 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg).

Recent results show that SV Elversberg have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 0.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.67 — 1.61 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%SV Elversberg
X24%Draw
236%SC Freiburg
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

SV Elversberg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SV Elversberg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
SC Freiburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SC Freiburg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

SV Elversberg20%
SC Freiburg19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

SV Elversberg16%
SC Freiburg14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

SV Elversberg52%
SC Freiburg48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

SV Elversberg
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
SC Freiburg
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.94%
#22-18.45%
#31-28.11%
#42-26.78%
#51-05.68%
Combined Top 539.96%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

SV Elversberg + BTTS24%
SC Freiburg + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

SV Elversberg Season

Rank#7
Points13
Matches Left25

SC Freiburg Season

Rank#3
Points19
Matches Left25

SV Elversberg Last 5

Borussia Dortmund 2 - 1
FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1
RB Leipzig 4 - 0
FC Augsburg 4 - 3
Union Berlin 1 - 0

SC Freiburg Last 5

Union Berlin 2 - 0
FC Augsburg 1 - 2
Bayern München 1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1
FC Schalke 04 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

SV Elversberg: 0 Draws: 1 SC Freiburg: 0
2022 SC Freiburg 0 - 0 SV Elversberg

Form Analysis

SV Elversberg
L W L W L
SC Freiburg
W W L L W

SV Elversberg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored12
Goals conceded8
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

SC Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

SV Elversberg
2.01
SC Freiburg
1.84

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg is a Bundesliga football match on November 21, 2026 at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLWL) for SV Elversberg and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWLLW) for SC Freiburg. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, SV Elversberg is currently #7 with 13 points from 9 matches, while SC Freiburg is #3 with 19 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: SV Elversberg won 0, 1 were drawn and SC Freiburg won 0 across the last 1 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows SV Elversberg at 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus SC Freiburg at 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.01 for SV Elversberg and 1.84 for SC Freiburg.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.