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Swansea

L L W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

West Brom

W D W D W
1X2 West Brom 42%
O/U Under 3.5 75%
DC 1X 68%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Swansea 34% Draw 24% West Brom 42%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Swansea and West Brom?

Our prediction for the Swansea–West Brom match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

West Brom to win (42% confidence); Swansea to win or draw (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Swansea

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Swansea scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

West Brom

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, West Brom scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Swansea and West Brom average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Joseph Okopu contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.69/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, I. Price contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.56/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, West Brom records a mean of 6.87/10 versus 6.58/10 for Swansea.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists L. Williams as coach of Swansea. The latest recorded formations are Swansea in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and West Brom in 4-4-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Swansea averaged 54.6% possession and 11.5 shots per match (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, West Brom averaged 56.0% possession and 13.8 shots (3.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Swansea recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.25 points, 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, West Brom recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Championship fixture takes place at Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea).

Recent results show that Swansea have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.46 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Swansea
X26%Draw
236%West Brom
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Swansea
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Swansea.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
West Brom
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for West Brom.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Swansea23%
West Brom22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Swansea17%
West Brom16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Swansea51%
West Brom49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Swansea
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
West Brom
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.21%
#22-18.49%
#31-28.26%
#41-07.07%
#50-16.86%
Combined Top 542.89%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Swansea + BTTS21%
West Brom + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Swansea Season

Rank#6
Points26
Matches Left23

West Brom Season

Rank#5
Points28
Matches Left23

Swansea Last 5

Birmingham 2 - 1
Portsmouth 3 - 1
Blackburn 4 - 0
QPR 5 - 0
West Ham 0 - 1

West Brom Last 5

Millwall 3 - 0
Southampton 1 - 1
West Ham 1 - 3
Preston 1 - 1
Blackburn 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Swansea: 1 Draws: 2 West Brom: 2
2026 Swansea 1 - 1 West Brom
2026 Swansea 1 - 0 West Brom
2025 West Brom 3 - 2 Swansea
2025 Swansea 1 - 1 West Brom
2024 West Brom 1 - 0 Swansea

Form Analysis

Swansea
L L W L L
West Brom
W D W D W

Swansea Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.57
Goals scored11
Goals conceded3
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.43

West Brom Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.43
Goals scored10
Goals conceded8
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Swansea
1.32
West Brom
1.20

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Swansea vs West Brom is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Swansea.com Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLWLL) for Swansea and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WDWDW) for West Brom. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Swansea.com Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Swansea is currently #6 with 26 points from 15 matches, while West Brom is #5 with 28 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: Swansea won 1, 2 were drawn and West Brom won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Swansea at 1.57 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per home match, versus West Brom at 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.32 for Swansea and 1.20 for West Brom.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.