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Tenerife
L D D D D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

AD Ceuta FC
L L L L L
1X2 Tenerife 55%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC 1X 87%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Tenerife 55% Draw 20% AD Ceuta FC 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Tenerife and AD Ceuta FC?

Our prediction for the Tenerife–AD Ceuta FC match is: Tenerife to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Tenerife to win (55% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

Tenerife

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Tenerife scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

AD Ceuta FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AD Ceuta FC scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Tenerife scored 1.40 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; AD Ceuta FC scored 0.60 and conceded 2.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Enric Gallego contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.23/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jordi Escobar contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.45/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Tenerife records a mean of 6.42/10 versus 6.26/10 for AD Ceuta FC.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists José Juan Romero as coach of AD Ceuta FC. The latest recorded formations are Tenerife in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026) and AD Ceuta FC in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Tenerife averaged 40.2% possession and 9.3 shots per match (2.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, AD Ceuta FC averaged 52.5% possession and 17.5 shots (5.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Tenerife recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, AD Ceuta FC recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.20 points, 0.60 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife).

Recent results show that Tenerife have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 points per home match compared with 0.6 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.31 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Tenerife
X26%Draw
230%AD Ceuta FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Tenerife
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Tenerife.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
AD Ceuta FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for AD Ceuta FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Tenerife27%
AD Ceuta FC20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Tenerife21%
AD Ceuta FC14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Tenerife59%
AD Ceuta FC41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Tenerife
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 26%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 17%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
AD Ceuta FC
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 17%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 26%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.25%
#22-19.17%
#31-07.87%
#41-27.38%
#52-06.99%
Combined Top 543.66%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Tenerife + BTTS23%
AD Ceuta FC + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Tenerife Season

Rank#14
Points15
Matches Left26

AD Ceuta FC Season

Rank#22
Points5
Matches Left25

Tenerife Last 5

FC Andorra 2 - 2
Sabadell 1 - 1
Celta de Vigo II 1 - 1
Girona 1 - 1
Cordoba 3 - 2

AD Ceuta FC Last 5

Cordoba 3 - 0
Sporting Gijon 0 - 2
Cadiz 3 - 1
Oviedo 1 - 2
Sabadell 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Tenerife
D D D D L
AD Ceuta FC
L L L L L

Tenerife Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.17
Goals scored7
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

AD Ceuta FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.67
Goals scored4
Goals conceded18
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Tenerife
1.79
AD Ceuta FC
0.70

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Tenerife vs AD Ceuta FC is a Football football match on November 15, 2026 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz. Recent form is 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses (form: DDDDL) for Tenerife and 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for AD Ceuta FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 15 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Tenerife is currently #14 with 15 points from 12 matches, while AD Ceuta FC is #22 with 5 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Tenerife at 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus AD Ceuta FC at 0.67 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.79 for Tenerife and 0.70 for AD Ceuta FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.