What is the prediction for the football match between Twente and Willem II?
Our prediction for the Twente–Willem II match is: Twente to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Twente to win (77% confidence); over 2.5 goals (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)
Twente
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Twente scored an average of 3.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
Willem II
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Willem II scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 4.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Twente scored 3.00 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Willem II scored 1.00 and conceded 4.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, W. Weghorst contributed 5 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.54/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Uriel van Aalst contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.35/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Twente records a mean of 7.09/10 versus 6.14/10 for Willem II.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list J. Oosting for Twente and J. Stegeman for Willem II. The latest recorded formations are Twente in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Willem II in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Twente averaged 58.0% possession and 20.6 shots per match (7.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 9 matches, Willem II averaged 42.8% possession and 11.0 shots (2.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, Twente recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Willem II recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.20 points, 1.00 goals scored and 3.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Eredivisie fixture takes place at De Grolsch Veste (Enschede).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Twente: 2.0 points per home match compared with 2.2 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.