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U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W L D W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Monterrey
W W L D L
1X2 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 53%
O/U Over 2.5 77%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 53% Draw 20% Monterrey 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Monterrey?

Our prediction for the U.N.A.M. - Pumas–Monterrey match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win (53% confidence); U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, U.N.A.M. - Pumas scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Monterrey

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Monterrey scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Monterrey average 3.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juninho contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, L. Ocampos contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.90/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, U.N.A.M. - Pumas records a mean of 6.58/10 versus 6.37/10 for Monterrey.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Domènec Torrent as coach of Monterrey. The latest recorded formations are U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 4-4-2 (Nov 8, 2026) and Monterrey in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaged 43.4% possession and 11.4 shots per match (3.7 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, Monterrey averaged 54.7% possession and 12.1 shots (4.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, U.N.A.M. - Pumas recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 0.75 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Monterrey recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Olímpico Universitario (Mexico City).

U.N.A.M. - Pumas's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 1 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.8 points per home match compared with 2.0 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.75 — 1.62 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%U.N.A.M. - Pumas
X24%Draw
235%Monterrey
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Monterrey
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Monterrey.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas20%
Monterrey17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas16%
Monterrey13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas54%
Monterrey46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Monterrey
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.55%
#22-18.53%
#31-27.86%
#42-26.89%
#51-05.42%
Combined Top 539.25%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas + BTTS25%
Monterrey + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Season

Rank#11
Points21
Matches Left22

Monterrey Season

Rank#10
Points21
Matches Left23

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Last 5

Club America 2 - 2
Puebla 1 - 2
Tigres UANL 1 - 1
Santos Laguna 2 - 0
Atlante FC 1 - 2

Monterrey Last 5

Toluca 4 - 0
Club Tijuana 3 - 3
Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 1
Puebla 1 - 4
CF Pachuca 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 1 Draws: 1 Monterrey: 3
2026 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2 - 0 Monterrey
2025 Monterrey 1 - 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2025 Monterrey 2 - 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2025 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 - 3 Monterrey
2024 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 5 Monterrey

Form Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D W D L W
Monterrey
L D L W W

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored12
Goals conceded14
Matches8
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

Monterrey Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.43
Goals scored10
Goals conceded14
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2.24
Monterrey
1.90

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Monterrey is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDLW) for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLWW) for Monterrey. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas is currently #11 with 21 points from 16 matches, while Monterrey is #10 with 21 points from 15. Recent head-to-head history: U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 1, 1 were drawn and Monterrey won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows U.N.A.M. - Pumas at 1.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per home match, versus Monterrey at 1.43 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.24 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1.90 for Monterrey.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.