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VfL Wolfsburg
D W D W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Holstein Kiel
L D W L L
1X2 VfL Wolfsburg 53%
O/U Under 2.5 67%
DC 1X 96%
BTTS No 46%
OpWin AI Probabilities
VfL Wolfsburg 53% Draw 25% Holstein Kiel 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel?

Our prediction for the VfL Wolfsburg–Holstein Kiel match is: VfL Wolfsburg to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

VfL Wolfsburg to win (53% confidence); under 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: no (46% confidence)

VfL Wolfsburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, VfL Wolfsburg scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Holstein Kiel

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Holstein Kiel scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): VfL Wolfsburg scored 2.20 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Holstein Kiel scored 0.80 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Damar contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.61/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Harres contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.69/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. Hasenhüttl for VfL Wolfsburg and Tim Walter for Holstein Kiel. The latest recorded formations are VfL Wolfsburg in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Holstein Kiel in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, VfL Wolfsburg averaged 55.8% possession and 19.0 shots per match (7.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Holstein Kiel averaged 54.6% possession and 12.4 shots (3.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This 2. Bundesliga fixture takes place at Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for VfL Wolfsburg, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.68 — 1.07 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

151%VfL Wolfsburg
X26%Draw
224%Holstein Kiel
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes54%
No46%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 77%U 23%
O/U 2.5O 52%U 48%
O/U 3.5O 29%U 71%
O/U 4.5O 14%U 86%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

VfL Wolfsburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for VfL Wolfsburg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Holstein Kiel
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 98%

The model assigns 98% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Holstein Kiel.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 91%

A different goal line with 91% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 66%U 34%
1.5O 29%U 71%
2.5O 9%U 91%
3.5O 2%U 98%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

VfL Wolfsburg34%
Holstein Kiel19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

VfL Wolfsburg27%
Holstein Kiel12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

VfL Wolfsburg68%
Holstein Kiel32%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

VfL Wolfsburg
-1.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
-1W 28%P 23%L 49%
-0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
0W 51%P 26%L 24%
+0.5W 77%P 0%L 24%
+1W 77%P 14%L 9%
+1.5W 91%P 0%L 9%
Holstein Kiel
-1.5W 9%P 0%L 91%
-1W 9%P 14%L 77%
-0.5W 24%P 0%L 77%
0W 24%P 26%L 51%
+0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
+1W 49%P 23%L 28%
+1.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.38%
#21-010.12%
#32-19.62%
#42-09.01%
#50-07.06%
Combined Top 548.19%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

VfL Wolfsburg + BTTS24%
Holstein Kiel + BTTS12%
Draw + BTTS19%

VfL Wolfsburg Season

Rank#5
Points19
Matches Left27

Holstein Kiel Season

Rank#18
Points8
Matches Left27

VfL Wolfsburg Last 5

Hertha BSC 2 - 1
VfL Osnabrück 2 - 0
VfL Bochum 1 - 1
1. FC Heidenheim 3 - 1
1. FC Nürnberg 4 - 4

Holstein Kiel Last 5

Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 - 0
Dynamo Dresden 3 - 0
Hertha BSC 0 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

VfL Wolfsburg: 2 Draws: 1 Holstein Kiel: 2
2025 VfL Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
2025 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 2 Holstein Kiel
2024 Holstein Kiel 0 - 2 VfL Wolfsburg
2021 VfL Wolfsburg 0 - 1 Holstein Kiel
2020 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Holstein Kiel

Form Analysis

VfL Wolfsburg
L W D W D
Holstein Kiel
L L W D L

VfL Wolfsburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.80
Goals scored14
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Holstein Kiel Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.40
Goals scored2
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

VfL Wolfsburg
1.78
Holstein Kiel
0.26

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel is a Football football match on November 21, 2026 at Volkswagen Arena. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDWD) for VfL Wolfsburg and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWDL) for Holstein Kiel. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Volkswagen Arena

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, VfL Wolfsburg is currently #5 with 19 points from 11 matches, while Holstein Kiel is #18 with 8 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: VfL Wolfsburg won 2, 1 were drawn and Holstein Kiel won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows VfL Wolfsburg at 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Holstein Kiel at 0.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.78 for VfL Wolfsburg and 0.26 for Holstein Kiel.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.