What is the prediction for the football match between Vitesse and Jong AZ?
Our prediction for the Vitesse–Jong AZ match is: over 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Vitesse to win (46% confidence); Vitesse to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)
Vitesse
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Vitesse scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
Jong AZ
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Jong AZ scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Vitesse and Jong AZ average 3.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Bannis contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.84/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Andersen contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.79/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Vitesse in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026) and Jong AZ in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Vitesse averaged 44.6% possession and 13.4 shots per match (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Jong AZ averaged 54.5% possession and 16.3 shots (6.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at GelreDome (Arnhem).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Vitesse: 1.3 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.