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VVV Venlo
W D W W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Waalwijk
L D D L D
1X2 VVV Venlo 49%
O/U Over 2.5 61%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
VVV Venlo 49% Draw 25% Waalwijk 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between VVV Venlo and Waalwijk?

Our prediction for the VVV Venlo–Waalwijk match is: VVV Venlo to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

VVV Venlo to win (49% confidence); over 2.5 goals (61% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

VVV Venlo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, VVV Venlo scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Waalwijk

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Waalwijk scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): VVV Venlo scored 2.80 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Waalwijk scored 0.80 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Ismail Oulad M'Hand contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.09/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.54/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists H. Fraser as coach of Waalwijk. The latest recorded formations are VVV Venlo in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Waalwijk in 4-1-3-2 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, VVV Venlo averaged 48.8% possession and 17.9 shots per match (6.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Waalwijk averaged 52.4% possession and 16.3 shots (4.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, VVV Venlo recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.67 points, 2.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Waalwijk recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, averaging 0.50 points, 0.50 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Eerste Divisie fixture takes place at Seacon - De Koel (Venlo).

VVV Venlo's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 0 defeats in 3 home matches, averaging 1.7 points per home match compared with 2.4 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.76 — 1.43 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%VVV Venlo
X25%Draw
231%Waalwijk
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

VVV Venlo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for VVV Venlo.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 26%U 74%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Waalwijk
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Waalwijk.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

VVV Venlo24%
Waalwijk17%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

VVV Venlo19%
Waalwijk12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

VVV Venlo59%
Waalwijk41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

VVV Venlo
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Waalwijk
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.24%
#22-19.10%
#31-27.39%
#41-06.65%
#52-26.49%
Combined Top 540.87%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

VVV Venlo + BTTS26%
Waalwijk + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

VVV Venlo Season

Rank#2
Points0
Matches Left38

Waalwijk Season

Rank#12
Points0
Matches Left38

VVV Venlo Last 5

Jong PSV U21 1 - 1
MVV 1 - 2
Dordrecht 2 - 4
Jong AZ 4 - 4
Jong Ajax 0 - 3

Waalwijk Last 5

FC OSS 1 - 1
Almere City FC 1 - 2
De Graafschap 1 - 1
FC Volendam 1 - 1
Heracles 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

VVV Venlo: 2 Draws: 1 Waalwijk: 2
2026 VVV Venlo 0 - 3 Waalwijk
2025 Waalwijk 1 - 2 VVV Venlo
2021 VVV Venlo 3 - 3 Waalwijk
2020 Waalwijk 3 - 2 VVV Venlo
2020 Waalwijk 1 - 2 VVV Venlo

Form Analysis

VVV Venlo
D W W D
Waalwijk
D L D D

VVV Venlo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Waalwijk Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
—
Goals scored0
Goals conceded0
Matches0
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)—

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

VVV Venlo
2.17
Waalwijk
1.04

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

VVV Venlo vs Waalwijk is a Football football match on November 27, 2026 at Covebo Stadion - De Koel -. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: DWWD) for VVV Venlo and 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDD) for Waalwijk. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, VVV Venlo is currently #2 with 0 points from 0 matches, while Waalwijk is #12 with 0 points from 0. Recent head-to-head history: VVV Venlo won 2, 1 were drawn and Waalwijk won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows VVV Venlo at — goals scored and — conceded per home match, versus Waalwijk at — goals scored and — conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.17 for VVV Venlo and 1.04 for Waalwijk.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.