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Werder Bremen
D D W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Hamburger SV
W W L L W
1X2 Werder Bremen 59%
O/U Over 2.5 70%
DC 1X 87%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Werder Bremen 59% Draw 21% Hamburger SV 20%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV?

Our prediction for the Werder Bremen–Hamburger SV match is: Werder Bremen to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Werder Bremen to win (59% confidence); over 2.5 goals (70% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Werder Bremen

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Werder Bremen scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Hamburger SV

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Hamburger SV scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Werder Bremen scored 1.80 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; Hamburger SV scored 1.60 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Füllkrug contributed 6 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.57/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Muheim contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.29/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Werder Bremen records a mean of 6.73/10 versus 6.45/10 for Hamburger SV.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list O. Werner for Werder Bremen and M. Polzin for Hamburger SV. The latest recorded formations are Werder Bremen in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Hamburger SV in 3-5-2 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Werder Bremen averaged 46.9% possession and 16.6 shots per match (6.9 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Hamburger SV averaged 44.1% possession and 12.3 shots (4.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Werder Bremen recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Hamburger SV recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Weserstadion (Bremen).

Recent results show that Werder Bremen have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.87 — 1.44 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%Werder Bremen
X24%Draw
229%Hamburger SV
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Werder Bremen
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Werder Bremen.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Hamburger SV
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Hamburger SV.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Werder Bremen24%
Hamburger SV15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Werder Bremen20%
Hamburger SV11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Werder Bremen62%
Hamburger SV38%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Werder Bremen
-1.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
-1W 27%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 24%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 16%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Hamburger SV
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 16%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 24%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 27%
+1.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.58%
#22-19.19%
#31-27.05%
#42-26.59%
#52-06.40%
Combined Top 539.81%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Werder Bremen + BTTS28%
Hamburger SV + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Werder Bremen Season

Rank#6
Points15
Matches Left25

Hamburger SV Season

Rank#11
Points12
Matches Left25

Werder Bremen Last 5

VfB Stuttgart 1 - 0
1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 0
FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3
SC Paderborn 07 2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2

Hamburger SV Last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 1
SC Paderborn 07 1 - 0
VfB Stuttgart 1 - 0
1899 Hoffenheim 2 - 3

Head-to-Head

Werder Bremen: 3 Draws: 0 Hamburger SV: 2
2026 Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Hamburger SV
2025 Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Werder Bremen
2022 Hamburger SV 2 - 3 Werder Bremen
2021 Werder Bremen 0 - 2 Hamburger SV
2018 Werder Bremen 1 - 0 Hamburger SV

Form Analysis

Werder Bremen
L W W D D
Hamburger SV
W L L W W

Werder Bremen Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored10
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Hamburger SV Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.80
Goals scored4
Goals conceded13
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.60

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Werder Bremen
2.62
Hamburger SV
1.08

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV is a Bundesliga football match on November 22, 2026 at Weserstadion. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDD) for Werder Bremen and 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WLLWW) for Hamburger SV. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Weserstadion

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, Werder Bremen is currently #6 with 15 points from 9 matches, while Hamburger SV is #11 with 12 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Werder Bremen won 3, 0 were drawn and Hamburger SV won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Werder Bremen at 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Hamburger SV at 0.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.62 for Werder Bremen and 1.08 for Hamburger SV.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.