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Union Berlin

W L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

St. Pauli

W W D L L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Union Berlin 38% Draw 29% St. Pauli 32%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Union Berlin
Confidence: 38%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 67%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 77%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 52%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 11%

Union Berlin Season

Rank#9
Points31
Matches Left7

St. Pauli Season

Rank#16
Points24
Matches Left7

Union Berlin Last 5

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 0
SV Werder Bremen 1 - 4
SC Freiburg 0 - 1
FC Bayern München 4 - 0

St. Pauli Last 5

SV Werder Bremen 2 - 1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 0
SC Freiburg 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Union Berlin: 2 Draws: 0 St. Pauli: 1
2025 St. Pauli 0 - 1 Union Berlin
2025 St. Pauli 3 - 0 Union Berlin
2024 Union Berlin 1 - 0 St. Pauli

Form Analysis

Union Berlin
8W - 7D - 12L
St. Pauli
6W - 6D - 15L

Union Berlin Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.14
Attacks93
Dangerous37
Avg Shots10.5
🛡️ Defense 1.64

St. Pauli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.86
Attacks70
Dangerous28
Avg Shots7.9
🛡️ Defense 1.57

Match Statistics

53% Possession 47%
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Berlin
1.28
St. Pauli
1.15

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:05 PM

In this matchup between Union Berlin and St. Pauli at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, the math model leans toward a Union Berlin victory. The model's 38% confidence in this result is likely influenced by various factors, including recent form, player statistics, and team dynamics, which suggest that Union holds an advantage. Looking at the latest 1x2 Predictions, it's clear that the odds favor the home side to secure all three points, making it a compelling value bet for bettors. Additionally, the recommendation for a safety pick of 1X—indicating a win or draw for Union—speaks to their stability at home. The suggested goals market of under 3.5 draws from the poisson distribution analysis, indicating a low-scoring game likely due to the teams' current attacking variance. Based on these metrics, the betting tips guide bettors to consider combo bets that align with the prediction of a definite but narrow victory for Union Berlin, alongside a 'No' for both teams to score (BTTS). Given the context, this Union Berlin vs. St. Pauli prediction effectively combines statistical insights with strategic betting, ensuring an informed decision for sports enthusiasts looking to invest.

📅 5 Apr 2026
📍 Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Standings & Context

Currently, Union Berlin sits at position #9 (31 pts). They face St. Pauli who occupy the #16 spot (24 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Union Berlin has averaged 1.14 goals at home. St. Pauli travels with an away scoring record of 0.86 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.