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Newcastle

W D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-1
Away

Bournemouth

D D D D D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Newcastle 38% Draw 25% Bournemouth 38%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Draw
Confidence: 25%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 63%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 63%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 71%
Correct Score
1-1
Confidence: 11%

Newcastle Season

Rank#12
Points42
Matches Left7

Bournemouth Season

Rank#13
Points42
Matches Left7

Newcastle Last 5

Manchester United FC 2 - 1
FC Barcelona 1 - 1
Chelsea FC 0 - 1
FC Barcelona 7 - 2
Sunderland AFC 1 - 2

Bournemouth Last 5

West Ham United FC 0 - 0
Sunderland AFC 1 - 1
Brentford FC 0 - 0
Burnley FC 0 - 0
Manchester United FC 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Newcastle: 0 Draws: 2 Bournemouth: 1
2025 Bournemouth 0 - 0 Newcastle
2025 Newcastle 1 - 4 Bournemouth
2024 Bournemouth 1 - 1 Newcastle

Form Analysis

Newcastle
12W - 6D - 13L
Bournemouth
9W - 15D - 7L

Newcastle Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.38
Attacks110
Dangerous44
Avg Shots12.7
🛡️ Defense 1.44

Bournemouth Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.44
Attacks115
Dangerous46
Avg Shots13.2
🛡️ Defense 1.50

Match Statistics

49% Possession 51%
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle
1.63
Bournemouth
1.63

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:05 PM

In an upcoming clash at St James' Park, Newcastle will host Bournemouth in what promises to be a compelling matchup in the Premier League. The Math Model prediction suggests a draw (winner) with a confidence level of only 25%. This indicates that both teams are expected to exert equal influence on the game, which is reflected in the odds and the variance observed in their performance metrics. The model may have opted for a draw due to the consistent yet unpredictable nature of both squads in recent fixtures, leading to an expectation of a closely contested tie. For those considering betting strategies, the 1X safety pick is a wise choice, as it hedges against a loss while still capitalizing on the likelihood of at least a point for Newcastle. The recommendations further extend to goals, with a suggestion of over 2.5, alongside a "both teams to score" (BTTS) bet, hinting at an engaging attack from both sides. These betting tips are based on the continued offensive capabilities evident in both teams, making the Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction lean towards exciting football. Strategically, this matchup holds appeal for value bets and combo bets, particularly given the uncertainty around the exact outcome, but with ample goals expected from both teams through mathematical modeling using poisson distribution.

📅 18 Apr 2026
📍 St James' Park

Standings & Context

Currently, Newcastle sits at position #12 (42 pts). They face Bournemouth who occupy the #13 spot (42 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Newcastle has averaged 1.38 goals at home. Bournemouth travels with an away scoring record of 1.44 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.