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Newcastle

W W W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Aston Villa

W L W D L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Newcastle 33% Draw 26% Aston Villa 41%
FT (Finished): 0 - 2
Accuracy: 60%
Winner
Aston Villa
Confidence: 41%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 67%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 80%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 65%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 9%

Match Timeline

19' Emiliano Buendía (0-1)
27' 🟥 Joelinton
48' 🔄 In: Jacob Ramsey
59' 🔄 In: Leon Bailey
62' 🔄 In: Nick Woltemade
63' 🔄 In: Anthony Elanga
74' 🔄 In: Lamare Bogarde
75' 🔄 In: Tyrone Mings
75' 🔄 In: Lucas Digne
79' 🟥 Lucas Digne
84' 🔄 In: Joe Willock
88' Ollie Watkins (0-2)
89' 🔄 In: Victor Nilsson-Lindelöf
90' 🟥 Ian Maatsen

Lineups (4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1)

Newcastle
  • 1 Nick Pope Goalkeeper
  • 3 Lewis Hall Midfield
  • 11 Harvey Barnes Left Winger
  • 9 Yoane Wissa Centre-Forward
  • 10 Anthony Gordon Left Winger
  • 67 Lewis Miley Central Midfield
  • 8 Sandro Tonali Central Midfield
  • 7 Joelinton Central Midfield
  • 2 Kieran Trippier Right-Back
  • 12 Malick Thiaw Centre-Back
  • 4 Sven Botman Centre-Back
Aston Villa
  • 23 Emiliano Martínez Goalkeeper
  • 11 Ollie Watkins Centre-Forward
  • 19 Jadon Sancho Left Winger
  • 27 Morgan Rogers Attacking Midfield
  • 10 Emiliano Buendía Attacking Midfield
  • 24 Amadou Onana Defensive Midfield
  • 8 Youri Tielemans Central Midfield
  • 2 Matty Cash Right-Back
  • 4 Ezri Konsa Centre-Back
  • 14 Pau Torres Centre-Back
  • 22 Ian Maatsen Left-Back

Newcastle Season

Rank#9
Points33
Matches Left38

Aston Villa Season

Rank#3
Points46
Matches Left38

Newcastle Last 5

Burnley FC 1 - 3
Crystal Palace FC 2 - 0
Leeds United FC 4 - 3
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 0 - 0
PSV 3 - 0

Aston Villa Last 5

Chelsea FC 1 - 2
Arsenal FC 4 - 1
Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 1
Crystal Palace FC 0 - 0
Everton FC 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Newcastle: 2 Draws: 1 Aston Villa: 2
2026 Newcastle 0 - 2 Aston Villa
2025 Aston Villa 0 - 0 Newcastle
2025 Aston Villa 4 - 1 Newcastle
2024 Newcastle 3 - 0 Aston Villa
2024 Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle

Form Analysis

Newcastle
9W - 6D - 8L
Aston Villa
14W - 4D - 5L

Newcastle Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.33
Attacks108
Dangerous43
Avg Shots12.2
🛡️ Defense 1.25

Aston Villa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.50
Attacks120
Dangerous48
Avg Shots13.8
🛡️ Defense 1.08

Match Statistics

48% Possession 52%
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle
1.37
Aston Villa
1.56

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 11:01 AM

Aston Villa secures a commanding 2-0 victory over Newcastle at St. James' Park! Exceptional teamwork and sharp finishing saw Villa dominate the match, showcasing their top-tier talent. Newcastle struggled to respond, leaving fans disappointed.

⏸️ HT 09:51 AM

At halftime, Aston Villa leads Newcastle 1-0, showcasing solid defense and a potent attack. Villa's early goal has put them in the driver’s seat, while Newcastle must regroup to turn the match around in the second half.

KICKOFF 09:00 AM

Kickoff at St. James' Park! The atmosphere is electric as Newcastle faces off against Aston Villa. Both teams are pushing hard right from the start, and the crowd is ready for a thrilling contest. Stay tuned!

📰 Team News 03:00 AM

Update: Aston Villa's John McGinn is out for several weeks with a knee injury, while Newcastle's Tino Livramento, Emil Krafth, Fabian Schar, and Jacob Murphy are confirmed absentees due to various injuries.

📝 Match Preview 08:44 AM

As Newcastle prepares to face Aston Villa at St James' Park, football enthusiasts and bettors alike are closely analyzing this Premier League clash. The Math Model has predicted a Newcastle win with a confidence level of 42%, suggesting a competitive matchup. This prediction stems from Newcastle's recent form and home advantage. They have been looking strong on their turf, leveraging their attacking prowess while Aston Villa has shown inconsistency, particularly in away games. In terms of betting tips, opting for Newcastle to win seems like a value bet, especially with the safety pick of 1X, which covers the possibility of a draw. For those interested in additional recommendations, betting on over 2.5 goals makes sense given the attacking talent on both sides, while both teams scoring (BTTS) is another likely scenario considering their respective offensive styles. A predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Newcastle encapsulates this analysis, reflecting the importance of exploiting home advantage and capitalizing on Aston Villa's vulnerabilities. As the match day approaches, the odds may shift, but solid betting strategies are essential for optimal returns, making this Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction crucial for savvy punters.

📅 Finished
📍 St James' Park

Standings & Context

Currently, Newcastle sits at position #9 (33 pts). They face Aston Villa who occupy the #3 spot (46 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Newcastle has averaged 1.33 goals at home. Aston Villa travels with an away scoring record of 1.50 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.