OpWin.

Home

Newcastle

L W L W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Sunderland

L L L D W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Newcastle 40% Draw 27% Sunderland 33%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Newcastle
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 67%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 78%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 60%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 9%

Newcastle Season

Rank#9
Points42
Matches Left8

Sunderland Season

Rank#13
Points40
Matches Left8

Newcastle Last 5

Manchester City FC 2 - 1
Qarabağ Ağdam FK 3 - 2
Everton FC 2 - 3
Manchester United FC 2 - 1
FC Barcelona 1 - 1

Sunderland Last 5

Arsenal FC 3 - 0
Liverpool FC 0 - 1
Fulham FC 1 - 3
AFC Bournemouth 1 - 1
Leeds United FC 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Newcastle: 0 Draws: 0 Sunderland: 1
2025 Sunderland 1 - 0 Newcastle

Form Analysis

Newcastle
12W - 6D - 12L
Sunderland
10W - 10D - 10L

Newcastle Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.47
Attacks118
Dangerous47
Avg Shots13.5
🛡️ Defense 1.47

Sunderland Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.20

Match Statistics

55% Possession 45%
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle
1.49
Sunderland
1.34

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:04 PM

As the Premier League clash between Newcastle and Sunderland approaches, the anticipation is palpable, especially given that this fixture is often punctuated by high stakes and electric atmospheres at St James' Park. The math model scenarios suggest that Newcastle, despite a modest 38% confidence in a win, holds the upper hand—especially taking into account their home performance, historical dominance in the Tyne-Wear derby, and the variance in the teams’ current form. The recommendation of 1X indicates a strong belief in Newcastle not losing this match, which is a common safety pick in 1x2 predictions when considering odds that may present value bets for fans. Both teams are expected to be aggressive, leading to bets on over 1.5 goals and a strong likelihood of both teams finding the net (BTTS). The poisson distribution model forecasts a close contest, highlighting the potential for combo bets that capitalize on various outcomes based on statistical analysis, making this Newcastle vs Sunderland prediction particularly compelling for bettors. The showdown is not merely about points but pride, making for a thrilling matchday where that analysis could translate into solid betting tips for supporters and punters alike. Expect early action and plenty of drama as these fierce rivals take to the pitch in what promises to be a memorable encounter.

📅 22 Mar 2026
📍 St James' Park

Standings & Context

Currently, Newcastle sits at position #9 (42 pts). They face Sunderland who occupy the #13 spot (40 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Newcastle has averaged 1.47 goals at home. Sunderland travels with an away scoring record of 1.00 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.