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RB Leipzig

D D W W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Mainz

L D D D W
OpWin AI Probabilities
RB Leipzig 49% Draw 24% Mainz 27%
FT (Finished): 1 - 2
Accuracy: 50%
Winner
RB Leipzig
Confidence: 49%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 73%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 61%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 63%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 10%

RB Leipzig Season

Rank#4
Points50
Matches Left34

Mainz Season

Rank#11
Points30
Matches Left34

RB Leipzig Last 5

VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 2
Borussia Dortmund 2 - 2
Hamburger SV 1 - 2
FC Augsburg 2 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 1 - 0

Mainz Last 5

Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0
Hamburger SV 1 - 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 1
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 2
SV Werder Bremen 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig: 2 Draws: 1 Mainz: 2
2026 RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
2025 Mainz 0 - 1 RB Leipzig
2025 RB Leipzig 1 - 2 Mainz
2024 Mainz 0 - 2 RB Leipzig
2024 RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Mainz

Form Analysis

RB Leipzig
15W - 5D - 7L
Mainz
7W - 9D - 11L

RB Leipzig Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.93
Attacks155
Dangerous62
Avg Shots17.8
🛡️ Defense 1.29

Mainz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.21
Attacks98
Dangerous39
Avg Shots11.1
🛡️ Defense 1.50

Match Statistics

57% Possession 43%
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

RB Leipzig
1.85
Mainz
1.31

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 11:31 AM

In a thrilling encounter, Mainz pulled off a stunning upset against RB Leipzig, claiming a 2-1 victory. With decisive goals and solid defense, Mainz showcased their grit, leaving fans buzzing and Leipzig pondering their strategy moving forward.

⏸️ HT 10:23 AM

What a thrilling first half! RB Leipzig and Mainz are level at 1-1, showcasing fierce attacking play on both sides. The intensity is palpable, and fans can expect more action in the second half.

KICKOFF 09:31 AM

The tension is palpable as RB Leipzig and Mainz kick off, both teams eager to secure crucial points. Fans are on their feet, anticipating a thrilling match filled with attacking flair and tactical battles. Let's see who claims victory!

📰 Team News 03:30 AM

Update: New signing Suleiman Sani has picked up an ankle injury in training and will not feature.

📝 Match Preview 07:05 PM

As RB Leipzig prepare to host Mainz at the iconic Red Bull Arena, the match presents an intriguing clash in the Bundesliga that is drawing attention from fans and bettors alike. Based on a thorough football analysis, the Math Model has predicted a 63% likelihood of an RB Leipzig victory, reflecting their robust home record and tactical advantages. Leipzig's squad depth and attacking prowess make them a formidable opponent, while Mainz has struggled to find consistent form this season. The recommended bets highlight a value bet on RB Leipzig winning and a safety pick on the match outcome being either a Leipzig win or a draw (1X). Given Leipzig's offensive capabilities, a bet of over 2.5 goals seems promising, and with both teams likely to score, betting tips suggest 'BTTS: Yes.' A predicted score line of 2-1 underscores the anticipated competitiveness of this encounter, as Mainz will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses from the hosts. Overall, the odds favor RB Leipzig, but Mainz's potential to contest the match creates an exciting dynamic for passionate fans and bettors. The RB Leipzig vs Mainz prediction indicates a match full of opportunities for all involved, making it essential viewing this Bundesliga weekend.

📅 Finished
📍 Red Bull Arena

Standings & Context

Currently, RB Leipzig sits at position #4 (50 pts). They face Mainz who occupy the #11 spot (30 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, RB Leipzig has averaged 1.93 goals at home. Mainz travels with an away scoring record of 1.21 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.