OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Atleti

D L W D W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Rayo Vallecano 23% Draw 29% Atleti 47%
FT (Finished): 3 - 0
Accuracy: 25%
Winner
Atleti
Confidence: 47%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 76%
Goals
Under 2.5
Confidence: 60%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 55%
Correct Score
0-1
Confidence: 13%

Match Timeline

29' 🟥 Johnny
40' Fran Perez (1-0)
45' Óscar Valentín (2-0)
52' 🟥 Rodrigo Mendoza
56' 🔄 In: Robin Le Normand
56' 🔄 In: Obed Vargas
56' 🔄 In: Julián Álvarez
63' 🔄 In: Marcos Llorente
63' 🔄 In: Ademola Lookman
64' 🔄 In: Álvaro García
64' 🔄 In: Jozhua Vertrouwd
64' 🔄 In: Pedro Díaz
70' 🟥 Marcos Llorente
74' 🔄 In: Randy Ntekja
76' Nobel Mendy (3-0)
83' 🔄 In: Unai López
90' 🟥 Álvaro García

Lineups (4-1-4-1 vs 4-5-1)

Rayo Vallecano
  • 13 Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
  • 19 Jorge de Frutos Right Winger
  • 12 Ilias Akhomach Right Winger
  • 7 Isi Palazón Right Winger
  • 21 Fran Perez Right Winger
  • 23 Óscar Valentín Central Midfield
  • 15 Gerard Gumbau Defensive Midfield
  • 2 Andrei Rațiu Right-Back
  • 24 Florian Lejeune Centre-Back
  • 32 Nobel Mendy Centre-Back
  • 22 Alfonso Espino Left-Back
Atleti
  • 13 Jan Oblak Goalkeeper
  • 2 José Giménez Defence
  • 4 Rodrigo Mendoza Midfield
  • 10 Álex Baena Offence
  • 11 Thiago Almada Attacking Midfield
  • 9 Alexander Sørloth Centre-Forward
  • 5 Johnny Defensive Midfield
  • 23 Nicolás González Right Winger
  • 16 Nahuel Molina Right-Back
  • 15 Clément Lenglet Centre-Back
  • 3 Matteo Ruggeri Left Midfield

Rayo Vallecano Season

Rank#16
Points25
Matches Left15

Atleti Season

Rank#4
Points45
Matches Left14

Rayo Vallecano Last 5

Getafe CF 1 - 1
RCD Mallorca 2 - 1
RC Celta de Vigo 3 - 0
CA Osasuna 1 - 3
Real Madrid CF 2 - 1

Atleti Last 5

Galatasaray SK 1 - 1
Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0
Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2
Levante UD 0 - 0
Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Rayo Vallecano: 1 Draws: 1 Atleti: 2
2026 Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 Atleti
2025 Atleti 3 - 2 Rayo Vallecano
2025 Atleti 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
2024 Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Atleti

Form Analysis

Rayo Vallecano
6W - 7D - 10L
Atleti
13W - 6D - 5L

Rayo Vallecano Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.92
Attacks75
Dangerous30
Avg Shots8.5
🛡️ Defense 1.25

Atleti Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.58
Attacks128
Dangerous51
Avg Shots14.5
🛡️ Defense 0.92

Match Statistics

43% Possession 57%
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rayo Vallecano
0.91
Atleti
1.40

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 12:14 PM

In a stunning display, Rayo Vallecano secured a decisive 3-0 victory against Atleti. Their relentless offense and solid defense highlighted the team's strength and strategy, firmly establishing their place in the league as serious contenders.

⏸️ HT 11:07 AM

At halftime, Rayo Vallecano leads Atleti 2-0 with an electrifying performance! Their relentless attack has overwhelmed the visitors, showcasing their offensive prowess. Can Atleti rally in the second half to turn the tide?

KICKOFF 10:17 AM

The match between Rayo Vallecano and Atleti has kicked off! Both teams are eager to set the pace early. Expect intense action as they vie for early dominance on the field. Can Rayo upset the favorites?

📰 Team News 04:15 AM

Update: Diego Mendez is confirmed absent for the match, while Unai Lopez is a doubt.

📝 Pre-match analysis 07:05 PM

In the upcoming clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid at El Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, the math model predicts a victory for Atletico with a confidence level of 53%. This prediction can be attributed to several factors, including Atletico's superior squad depth, strong defensive setup, and recent form, which tend to reduce variance in outcomes. While Rayo Vallecano can never be counted out, especially at home, the odds favor the visitors, making them a solid value bet for punters. In terms of 1x2 predictions, a bet on Atletico to win appears sensible, but for a more cautious approach, the safety pick of X2 offers a protective hedge. Additionally, with both teams' recent goal-scoring metrics indicating a trend towards lower-scoring matchups, betting tips suggest opting for 'Under 2.5 goals' and 'BTTS: No'. The poisson distribution applied to historical data supports these recommendations, especially when analyzing their scoring averages. Therefore, the Rayo Vallecano vs Atleti prediction trends toward a narrow Atletico victory, making this matchup fascinating both for fans and analysts alike.

📅 Finished
📍 El Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas

Standings & Context

Currently, Rayo Vallecano sits at position #16 (25 pts). They face Atleti who occupy the #4 spot (45 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Rayo Vallecano has averaged 0.92 goals at home. Atleti travels with an away scoring record of 1.58 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.