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DC United
L L L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

New York City FC
L D D W D
1X2 New York City FC 52%
O/U Under 2.5 66%
DC X2 68%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
DC United 22% Draw 26% New York City FC 52%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between DC United and New York City FC?

Our prediction for the DC United–New York City FC match is: New York City FC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

New York City FC to win (52% confidence); under 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)

DC United

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, DC United scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 2.60 per match.

New York City FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New York City FC scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): DC United scored 0.60 and conceded 2.60 per match across 5 covered games; New York City FC scored 1.20 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Dozzell contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.71/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Fernández Mercau contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.51/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, New York City FC records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.18/10 for DC United.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list R. Weiler for DC United and P. Jansen for New York City FC. The latest recorded formations are DC United in 4-4-2 (Oct 31, 2026) and New York City FC in 4-3-3 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, DC United averaged 38.9% possession and 12.5 shots per match (4.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 11 matches, New York City FC averaged 54.4% possession and 12.2 shots (4.4 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, DC United recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 0.83 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, New York City FC recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Audi Field (Washington).

Recent results show that DC United have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.2 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.40 — 1.44 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%DC United
X27%Draw
238%New York City FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 78%U 22%
O/U 2.5O 54%U 46%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

DC United
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for DC United.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 5%U 95%
New York City FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New York City FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

DC United24%
New York City FC25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

DC United17%
New York City FC18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

DC United49%
New York City FC51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

DC United
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 27%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
New York City FC
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 27%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.86%
#21-28.46%
#32-18.21%
#40-17.61%
#51-07.36%
Combined Top 544.50%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

DC United + BTTS19%
New York City FC + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

DC United Season

Rank#14
Points33
Matches Left5

New York City FC Season

Rank#11
Points39
Matches Left5

DC United Last 5

Columbus Crew 3 - 0
Toronto FC 2 - 1
FC Cincinnati 0 - 2
FC Cincinnati 2 - 1
Orlando City SC 4 - 1

New York City FC Last 5

CF Montreal 1 - 1
Atlanta United FC 2 - 1
Orlando City SC 2 - 2
Los Angeles FC 1 - 1
Inter Miami 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

DC United: 2 Draws: 2 New York City FC: 1
2026 New York City FC 0 - 2 DC United
2025 New York City FC 1 - 2 DC United
2025 DC United 0 - 0 New York City FC
2024 DC United 1 - 1 New York City FC
2024 New York City FC 2 - 0 DC United

Form Analysis

DC United
L L L L L
New York City FC
D W D D L

DC United Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored20
Goals conceded28
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.75

New York City FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.13
Goals scored18
Goals conceded21
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.31

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

DC United
0.99
New York City FC
1.09

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

DC United vs New York City FC is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Audi Field. Recent form is 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses (form: LLLLL) for DC United and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DWDDL) for New York City FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Audi Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, DC United is currently #14 with 33 points from 33 matches, while New York City FC is #11 with 39 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: DC United won 2, 2 were drawn and New York City FC won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows DC United at 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per home match, versus New York City FC at 1.13 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.99 for DC United and 1.09 for New York City FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.