What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Leeds–Tottenham match is: under 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Tottenham to win (53% confidence); Tottenham to win or draw (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (56% confidence)
Leeds
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Leeds scored an average of 0.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
Tottenham
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Tottenham scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Leeds and Tottenham average 2.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Muharemović contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.95/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. van Hecke contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.97/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Tottenham records a mean of 7.01/10 versus 6.50/10 for Leeds.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list D. Farke for Leeds and T. Frank for Tottenham. The latest recorded formations are Leeds in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Tottenham in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Leeds averaged 49.9% possession and 11.7 shots per match (4.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, Tottenham averaged 64.7% possession and 17.4 shots (4.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Leeds recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.50 points, 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Tottenham recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.67 points, 1.00 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Elland Road (Leeds).
Recent results show that Leeds have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.5 points per home match compared with 0.5 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.