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Manchester City
W L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Fulham
L W W D D
1X2 Manchester City 39%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Manchester City 39% Draw 24% Fulham 37%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Fulham?

Our prediction for the Manchester City–Fulham match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Manchester City to win (39% confidence); Manchester City to win or draw (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Manchester City

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Manchester City scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Fulham

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fulham scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Manchester City and Fulham average 3.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, P. Foden contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.97/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Iwobi contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.19/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Guardiola for Manchester City and Alvaro Arbeloa for Fulham. The latest recorded formations are Manchester City in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026) and Fulham in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 12 recent matches with possession and shot data, Manchester City averaged 63.5% possession and 16.3 shots per match (5.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Fulham averaged 57.0% possession and 14.4 shots (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Manchester City recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 2.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per match. Away from home, Fulham recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Manchester City: 2.0 points per home match compared with 2.1 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.61 — 1.48 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Manchester City
X25%Draw
234%Fulham
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Manchester City
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Manchester City.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Fulham
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fulham.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Manchester City23%
Fulham20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Manchester City18%
Fulham15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Manchester City54%
Fulham46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Manchester City
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Fulham
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.77%
#22-18.71%
#31-28.00%
#41-06.69%
#52-26.42%
Combined Top 541.59%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Manchester City + BTTS23%
Fulham + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Manchester City Season

Rank#2
Points21
Matches Left28

Fulham Season

Rank#15
Points10
Matches Left28

Manchester City Last 5

Nottingham Forest 3 - 1
RB Leipzig 2 - 3
Brighton 0 - 1
Aston Villa 2 - 1
AEK Athens FC 5 - 1

Fulham Last 5

Newcastle 1 - 1
Aston Villa 1 - 1
Coventry 0 - 1
Hull City 1 - 0
Ipswich 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Manchester City: 5 Draws: 0 Fulham: 0
2026 Manchester City 3 - 0 Fulham
2025 Fulham 4 - 5 Manchester City
2025 Fulham 0 - 2 Manchester City
2024 Manchester City 3 - 2 Fulham
2024 Fulham 0 - 4 Manchester City

Form Analysis

Manchester City
W L L W L
Fulham
L W W D D

Manchester City Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.67
Goals scored16
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Fulham Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.60
Goals scored3
Goals conceded4
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.80

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Manchester City
1.60
Fulham
1.21

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Manchester City vs Fulham is a Premier League football match on November 21, 2026 at Etihad Stadium. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLWL) for Manchester City and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWDD) for Fulham. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Etihad Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Manchester City is currently #2 with 21 points from 10 matches, while Fulham is #15 with 10 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Manchester City won 5, 0 were drawn and Fulham won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Manchester City at 2.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per home match, versus Fulham at 0.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.60 for Manchester City and 1.21 for Fulham.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.