OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
1X2 Atlanta United FC 43%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
New York Red Bulls 33% Draw 24% Atlanta United FC 43%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC?

Our prediction for the New York Red Bulls–Atlanta United FC match is: Atlanta United FC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Atlanta United FC to win (43% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

New York Red Bulls

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New York Red Bulls scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Atlanta United FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atlanta United FC scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): New York Red Bulls scored 1.40 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Atlanta United FC scored 2.00 and conceded 1.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Forsberg contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.70/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Almirón contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.47/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list S. Schwarz for New York Red Bulls and R. Deila for Atlanta United FC. The latest recorded formations are New York Red Bulls in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026) and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, New York Red Bulls averaged 48.0% possession and 15.5 shots per match (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Atlanta United FC averaged 50.2% possession and 15.2 shots (4.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, New York Red Bulls recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Atlanta United FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.60 points, 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for New York Red Bulls: 1.2 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.39 — 1.55 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%New York Red Bulls
X26%Draw
241%Atlanta United FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

New York Red Bulls
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New York Red Bulls.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Atlanta United FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atlanta United FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

New York Red Bulls21%
Atlanta United FC25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

New York Red Bulls15%
Atlanta United FC19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

New York Red Bulls45%
Atlanta United FC55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

New York Red Bulls
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Atlanta United FC
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.33%
#21-28.81%
#32-17.88%
#40-17.44%
#51-06.58%
Combined Top 543.04%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

New York Red Bulls + BTTS18%
Atlanta United FC + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

New York Red Bulls Season

Rank#10
Points39
Matches Left5

Atlanta United FC Season

Rank#13
Points33
Matches Left5

New York Red Bulls Last 5

Nashville SC 3 - 2
New England Revolution 3 - 2
Inter Miami 2 - 0
Toronto FC 0 - 2
DC United 2 - 1

Atlanta United FC Last 5

Toronto FC 3 - 1
New York City FC 2 - 1
Chicago Fire 2 - 3
Inter Miami 1 - 3
CF Montreal 0 - 3

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls: 1 Draws: 1 Atlanta United FC: 3
2026 Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls
2026 Atlanta United FC 3 - 2 New York Red Bulls
2025 New York Red Bulls 2 - 0 Atlanta United FC
2025 Atlanta United FC 0 - 0 New York Red Bulls
2024 Atlanta United FC 2 - 1 New York Red Bulls

Form Analysis

New York Red Bulls
L L W L L
Atlanta United FC
W L L L W

New York Red Bulls Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored24
Goals conceded29
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.81

Atlanta United FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.06
Goals scored17
Goals conceded24
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

New York Red Bulls
0.95
Atlanta United FC
1.56

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLWLL) for New York Red Bulls and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLW) for Atlanta United FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Sports Illustrated Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, New York Red Bulls is currently #10 with 39 points from 33 matches, while Atlanta United FC is #13 with 33 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: New York Red Bulls won 1, 1 were drawn and Atlanta United FC won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows New York Red Bulls at 1.50 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per home match, versus Atlanta United FC at 1.06 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.95 for New York Red Bulls and 1.56 for Atlanta United FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.