What is the prediction for the football match between New York Red Bulls and Atlanta United FC?
Our prediction for the New York Red Bulls–Atlanta United FC match is: Atlanta United FC to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Atlanta United FC to win (43% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)
New York Red Bulls
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, New York Red Bulls scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.
Atlanta United FC
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atlanta United FC scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): New York Red Bulls scored 1.40 and conceded 2.00 per match across 5 covered games; Atlanta United FC scored 2.00 and conceded 1.80 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, E. Forsberg contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.70/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Almirón contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.47/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list S. Schwarz for New York Red Bulls and R. Deila for Atlanta United FC. The latest recorded formations are New York Red Bulls in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026) and Atlanta United FC in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, New York Red Bulls averaged 48.0% possession and 15.5 shots per match (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 11 matches, Atlanta United FC averaged 50.2% possession and 15.2 shots (4.5 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 5 recent home matches, New York Red Bulls recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.20 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. Away from home, Atlanta United FC recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.60 points, 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Sports Illustrated Stadium (Harrison).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for New York Red Bulls: 1.2 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.