1X2 outlook
The model assigns the highest 1X2 probability to New York Red Bulls at 42%. This is a probability lead, not a certainty.
1X2
New York Red Bulls
42%
O/U
Under 3.5
76%
DC
X2
78%
BTTS
Yes
60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
New York Red Bulls 42%
Draw 21%
Atlanta United FC 37%
OPWIN Market Insights
Over / Under goals
The current goals projection leans towards Under 3.5 goals (model confidence: 76%). This remains an estimate.
Both Teams to Score
The Both Teams to Score market leans to Yes in the current model pick (confidence: 60%).
Expected Goals (xG)
Expected Goals (xG) project New York Red Bulls at 1.0 and Atlanta United FC at 1.6, for 2.5 combined. The estimate is in a moderate scoring range.
These explanations describe the available model outputs. They are estimates, not guarantees or claims of betting value.
1X2 — Match Result
The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).
133%New York Red Bulls
X26%Draw
241%Atlanta United FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.
Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals
Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.
O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away
Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.
New York Red Bulls
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 95%
The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New York Red Bulls.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 84%
A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Atlanta United FC
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 93%
The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atlanta United FC.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 80%
A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.
Clean Sheet
A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.
New York Red Bulls21%
Atlanta United FC25%
Win to Nil
The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.
New York Red Bulls15%
Atlanta United FC19%
Draw No Bet
The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.
New York Red Bulls45%
Atlanta United FC55%
Asian Handicap
The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.
New York Red Bulls
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Atlanta United FC
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score
OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.
#11-112.33%
#21-28.81%
#32-17.88%
#40-17.44%
#51-06.58%
Combined Top 543.04%
How Dutching works with $100
Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.
Winner + BTTS
This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.
New York Red Bulls + BTTS18%
Atlanta United FC + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%
Lineups
- E. Horvath
- J. Marshall-Rutty
- D. Nealis
- J. Bazán
- D. Padelford
- A. Mehmeti
- S. Kone
- R. Donkor
- C. Cowell
- J. Hall
- J. Ruvalcaba
- Jayden Hibbert
- T. Jacob
- P. DĂaz
- J. Alonso
- E. Báez
- G. Galoppo
- T. Muyumba
- M. Amaro
- A. Miranchuk
- B. Embolo
- M. AlmirĂłn
New York Red Bulls Season
Rank#10
Points39
Matches Left5
Atlanta United FC Season
Rank#13
Points33
Matches Left5
New York Red Bulls Last 5
Nashville SC
3 - 2
New England Revolution
3 - 2
Inter Miami
2 - 0
Toronto FC
0 - 2
DC United
2 - 1
Atlanta United FC Last 5
Toronto FC
3 - 1
New York City FC
2 - 1
Chicago Fire
2 - 3
Inter Miami
1 - 3
CF Montreal
0 - 3
Head-to-Head
New York Red Bulls: 1
Draws: 1
Atlanta United FC: 3
2026
Atlanta United FC
2 - 1
New York Red Bulls
2026
Atlanta United FC
3 - 2
New York Red Bulls
2025
New York Red Bulls
2 - 0
Atlanta United FC
2025
Atlanta United FC
0 - 0
New York Red Bulls
2024
Atlanta United FC
2 - 1
New York Red Bulls
Form Analysis
New York Red Bulls
L
L
W
L
L
Atlanta United FC
W
L
L
L
W
New York Red Bulls Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored24
Goals conceded29
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.81
Atlanta United FC Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.06
Goals scored17
Goals conceded24
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50
Match Statistics
Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.
Expected Goals (xG)
New York Red Bulls
0.95
Atlanta United FC
1.56
Live Commentary & Analysis
Match Preview
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC is a Football football match on November 7, 2026 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLWLL) for New York Red Bulls and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLW) for Atlanta United FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.
Standings & Context
In the Football standings, New York Red Bulls is currently #10 with 39 points from 33 matches, while Atlanta United FC is #13 with 33 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: New York Red Bulls won 1, 1 were drawn and Atlanta United FC won 3 across the last 5 meetings.
Performance Analysis
The performance profile shows New York Red Bulls at 1.50 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per home match, versus Atlanta United FC at 1.06 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.95 for New York Red Bulls and 1.56 for Atlanta United FC.
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.