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Rennes
L D W L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Lille
D L D W D
1X2 Rennes 45%
O/U Under 3.5 80%
DC 1X 86%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Rennes 45% Draw 27% Lille 29%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Lille?

Our prediction for the Rennes–Lille match is: Rennes to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Rennes to win (45% confidence); under 3.5 goals (80% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Rennes

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Rennes scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Lille

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Lille scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Rennes scored 2.00 and conceded 2.20 per match across 5 covered games; Lille scored 1.00 and conceded 1.20 across 5.

Players to watch

In a recent recorded appearance, E. Lepaul registered 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Across 5 recent recorded appearances, S. Diaoune contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.09/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists B. Génésio as coach of Lille. The latest recorded formations are Rennes in 5-3-2 (Nov 4, 2026) and Lille in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 3, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Rennes averaged 52.0% possession and 16.6 shots per match (6.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 10 matches, Lille averaged 52.6% possession and 11.0 shots (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 6 recent home matches, Rennes recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.67 points, 2.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Lille recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Ligue 1 fixture takes place at Roazhon Park (Rennes).

Recent results show that Rennes have a stronger record at home than away: 5 wins in 6 home matches, averaging 2.7 points per home match compared with 0.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.63 — 1.29 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Rennes
X26%Draw
230%Lille
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Rennes
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Rennes.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Lille
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Lille.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 37%U 63%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Rennes27%
Lille20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Rennes21%
Lille14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Rennes60%
Lille40%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Rennes
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 26%L 30%
+0.5W 70%P 0%L 30%
+1W 70%P 17%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Lille
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 17%L 70%
-0.5W 30%P 0%L 70%
0W 30%P 26%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.16%
#22-19.21%
#31-08.17%
#41-27.32%
#52-07.12%
Combined Top 543.98%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Rennes + BTTS23%
Lille + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

Rennes Season

Rank#5
Points16
Matches Left25

Lille Season

Rank#2
Points18
Matches Left25

Rennes Last 5

Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 0
Nice 5 - 2
Strasbourg 3 - 0
Juventus 2 - 2
Paris FC 4 - 3

Lille Last 5

Bodo/Glimt 0 - 0
Lens 1 - 0
Monaco 1 - 1
Galatasaray 2 - 4
Stade Brestois 29 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Rennes: 1 Draws: 1 Lille: 3
2026 Rennes 1 - 2 Lille
2026 Lille 0 - 2 Rennes
2025 Rennes 0 - 2 Lille
2024 Lille 1 - 0 Rennes
2024 Lille 2 - 2 Rennes

Form Analysis

Rennes
L W L W L
Lille
W D D W L

Rennes Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.60
Goals scored13
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Lille Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rennes
1.66
Lille
0.66

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Rennes vs Lille is a Ligue 1 football match on November 8, 2026 at Roazhon Park. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLWL) for Rennes and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDDWL) for Lille. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 8 Nov 2026
📍 Roazhon Park

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Rennes is currently #5 with 16 points from 9 matches, while Lille is #2 with 18 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Rennes won 1, 1 were drawn and Lille won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Rennes at 2.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Lille at 1.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.66 for Rennes and 0.66 for Lille.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.