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Flamengo

W D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Bahia

W W L W L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Flamengo 38% Draw 29% Bahia 33%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Flamengo
Confidence: 38%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 67%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 77%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 51%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 10%

Flamengo Season

Rank#4
Points17
Matches Left29

Bahia Season

Rank#5
Points17
Matches Left29

Flamengo Last 5

Clube do Remo 3 - 0
SC Corinthians Paulista 1 - 1
RB Bragantino 3 - 0
Santos FC 3 - 1
Cusco FC 0 - 2

Bahia Last 5

SC Internacional 0 - 1
RB Bragantino 2 - 0
Clube do Remo 4 - 1
CA Paranaense 3 - 0
SE Palmeiras 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Flamengo: 3 Draws: 0 Bahia: 1
2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Flamengo
2025 Flamengo 1 - 0 Bahia
2024 Bahia 0 - 2 Flamengo
2024 Flamengo 2 - 1 Bahia

Form Analysis

Flamengo
5W - 2D - 2L
Bahia
5W - 2D - 2L

Flamengo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.60
Attacks128
Dangerous51
Avg Shots14.7
🛡️ Defense 1.00

Bahia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.40
Attacks113
Dangerous45
Avg Shots12.9
🛡️ Defense 1.00

Match Statistics

52% Possession 48%
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Flamengo
1.28
Bahia
1.18

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:15 PM

As Flamengo prepares to host Bahia at the iconic Maracanã Stadium, the upcoming clash promises to be an intriguing encounter in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A. The match model predicts a slight edge for Flamengo with a 38% confidence level in their favor, suggesting a potential winner in the form of the home side. The model has likely taken into account the historical performance of both teams, with Flamengo having a robust home record and stronger overall squad depth. Betting tips outline that a "1X" safety pick is a prudent choice considering the potential for draw but also highlights its value as a value bet amidst fluctuating odds. The model suggests conservative expectations on scoring, predicting goals to be under 3.5 while also forecasting that both teams will not score (BTTS: No). This aligns with typical results in tightly contested matches, where strong defenses often dampen goal-scoring opportunities. Flamengo vs Bahia prediction clearly indicates reliance on statistical analysis, incorporating elements like the Poisson distribution to account for scoring frequency variance. Given this approach, punters can find reasonable assurance in Combo bets favoring Flamengo to emerge as winners. Overall, this matchup encapsulates the excitement and unpredictability of Brazilian football, setting the stage for an engaging afternoon of competitive soccer.

📅 19 Apr 2026
📍 Maracanã

Standings & Context

Currently, Flamengo sits at position #4 (17 pts). They face Bahia who occupy the #5 spot (17 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Flamengo has averaged 1.60 goals at home. Bahia travels with an away scoring record of 1.40 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.