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Nacional

L L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
1X2 Academico Viseu 62%
O/U Over 1.5 78%
DC X2 93%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Nacional 20% Draw 18% Academico Viseu 62%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional and Academico Viseu?

Our prediction for the Nacional–Academico Viseu match is: Academico Viseu to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Academico Viseu to win (62% confidence); over 1.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)

Nacional

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Nacional scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

Academico Viseu

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Academico Viseu scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Nacional scored 0.80 and conceded 2.20 per match across 5 covered games; Academico Viseu scored 2.00 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Miguel Baeza contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.50/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, André Clóvis contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Academico Viseu records a mean of 6.81/10 versus 6.40/10 for Nacional.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Sérgio Vieira as coach of Academico Viseu. The latest recorded formations are Nacional in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 1, 2026) and Academico Viseu in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Nacional averaged 42.7% possession and 8.8 shots per match (3.0 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 6 matches, Academico Viseu averaged 41.8% possession and 10.3 shots (3.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Nacional recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.75 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Academico Viseu recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in 3 matches, averaging 3.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Primeira Liga fixture takes place at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Nacional: 0.8 points per home match compared with 0.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.21 — 1.68 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

127%Nacional
X26%Draw
248%Academico Viseu
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Nacional
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 97%

The model assigns 97% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Nacional.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 70%U 30%
1.5O 34%U 66%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 3%U 97%
Academico Viseu
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Academico Viseu.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Nacional19%
Academico Viseu30%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Nacional12%
Academico Viseu24%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Nacional36%
Academico Viseu64%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Nacional
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 16%L 73%
-0.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
0W 27%P 26%L 48%
+0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
+1W 52%P 22%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Academico Viseu
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 22%L 52%
-0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
0W 48%P 26%L 27%
+0.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
+1W 73%P 16%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.23%
#21-29.48%
#30-18.66%
#40-27.86%
#52-16.79%
Combined Top 545.02%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Nacional + BTTS14%
Academico Viseu + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS19%

Nacional Season

Rank#15
Points7
Matches Left24

Academico Viseu Season

Rank#6
Points20
Matches Left24

Nacional Last 5

Arouca 1 - 0
SC Braga 1 - 0
Rio Ave 3 - 2
Famalicao 0 - 4
Alverca 1 - 3

Academico Viseu Last 5

Rio Ave 2 - 1
Sporting CP 1 - 2
Estoril 2 - 1
Estrela 0 - 2
Vitória SC 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Nacional: 1 Draws: 3 Academico Viseu: 1
2024 Nacional 1 - 1 Academico Viseu
2023 Academico Viseu 1 - 1 Nacional
2023 Nacional 3 - 2 Academico Viseu
2023 Academico Viseu 1 - 1 Nacional
2022 Nacional 1 - 2 Academico Viseu

Form Analysis

Nacional
L W L L L
Academico Viseu
W W W W W

Nacional Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded10
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Academico Viseu Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Nacional
0.58
Academico Viseu
2.31

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Nacional vs Academico Viseu is a Primeira Liga football match on November 7, 2026 at Estádio da Madeira. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LWLLL) for Nacional and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Academico Viseu. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Estádio da Madeira

Standings & Context

In the Primeira Liga standings, Nacional is currently #15 with 7 points from 10 matches, while Academico Viseu is #6 with 20 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Nacional won 1, 3 were drawn and Academico Viseu won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Nacional at 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Academico Viseu at 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.58 for Nacional and 2.31 for Academico Viseu.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.