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Parma

L L L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Bologna

W L W W W
1X2 Bologna 45%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC X2 80%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Parma 34% Draw 21% Bologna 45%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Bologna?

Our prediction for the Parma–Bologna match is: Bologna to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bologna to win (45% confidence); under 3.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Parma

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Parma scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Bologna

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bologna scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Parma scored 0.80 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Bologna scored 2.20 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Fabbian contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.47/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juan Miranda contributed 0 goal(s) and 4 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.75/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Parma in 3-5-2 (Nov 2, 2026) and Bologna in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Parma averaged 40.0% possession and 10.3 shots per match (3.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Bologna averaged 44.9% possession and 10.9 shots (4.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Parma recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per match. Away from home, Bologna recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.80 points, 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Ennio Tardini (Parma).

Recent results show that Parma have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.3 points per home match compared with 0.6 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.55 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Parma
X26%Draw
242%Bologna
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Parma
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Parma.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Bologna
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bologna.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Parma21%
Bologna26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Parma15%
Bologna20%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Parma43%
Bologna57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Parma
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 18%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 26%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 21%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Bologna
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 21%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 26%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 18%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.43%
#21-28.94%
#30-17.93%
#42-17.69%
#51-06.72%
Combined Top 543.71%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Parma + BTTS17%
Bologna + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Parma Season

Rank#15
Points8
Matches Left28

Bologna Season

Rank#9
Points14
Matches Left28

Parma Last 5

Atalanta 0 - 3
Udinese 0 - 0
Lazio 2 - 1
Torino 0 - 3
Inter 3 - 0

Bologna Last 5

Monza 2 - 1
AC Milan 2 - 4
Cagliari 0 - 2
Inter 1 - 3
Lecce 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Parma: 2 Draws: 1 Bologna: 2
2026 Bologna 0 - 1 Parma
2025 Bologna 2 - 1 Parma
2025 Parma 1 - 3 Bologna
2025 Parma 2 - 0 Bologna
2024 Bologna 0 - 0 Parma

Form Analysis

Parma
W D L L L
Bologna
W W W L W

Parma Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.60
Goals scored3
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Bologna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Parma
0.87
Bologna
1.62

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Parma vs Bologna is a Serie A football match on November 7, 2026 at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WDLLL) for Parma and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WWWLW) for Bologna. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 7 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio Ennio Tardini

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Parma is currently #15 with 8 points from 10 matches, while Bologna is #9 with 14 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Parma won 2, 1 were drawn and Bologna won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Parma at 0.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per home match, versus Bologna at 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.87 for Parma and 1.62 for Bologna.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.