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Torreense
L L W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

União de Leiria
L D W
1X2 Torreense 38%
O/U Under 3.5 75%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Torreense 38% Draw 26% União de Leiria 36%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Torreense and União de Leiria?

Our prediction for the Torreense–União de Leiria match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Torreense to win (38% confidence); Torreense to win or draw (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Torreense

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Torreense scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 2.67 per match.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, Javi Vázquez contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.81/10 across 3 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Tiago Fernandes for Torreense and Silas for União de Leiria. The latest recorded formations are Torreense in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 5, 2026) and União de Leiria in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 31, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Torreense averaged 43.2% possession and 8.2 shots per match (2.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 3 matches, União de Leiria averaged 63.0% possession and 17.3 shots (6.7 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

This Segunda Liga fixture takes place at Estadio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras).

Recent results show that Torreense have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 0.3 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.52 — 1.47 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Torreense
X26%Draw
236%União de Leiria
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Torreense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Torreense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
União de Leiria
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for União de Leiria.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Torreense23%
União de Leiria22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Torreense17%
União de Leiria16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Torreense51%
União de Leiria49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Torreense
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
União de Leiria
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.14%
#22-18.50%
#31-28.25%
#41-06.93%
#50-16.71%
Combined Top 542.53%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Torreense + BTTS21%
União de Leiria + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Torreense Season

Rank#12
Points10
Matches Left29

União de Leiria Season

Rank#9
Points14
Matches Left29

Torreense Last 5

Ararat-Armenia 3 - 2
Portimonense 0 - 0
Amarante 1 - 0
Ferencvarosi TC 4 - 1
Sunderland 1 - 2

União de Leiria Last 5

AVS 2 - 1
FC Porto B 1 - 1
Academica 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Torreense: 4 Draws: 0 União de Leiria: 1
2026 Torreense 3 - 1 União de Leiria
2026 Torreense 3 - 1 União de Leiria
2025 União de Leiria 1 - 0 Torreense
2025 União de Leiria 1 - 3 Torreense
2024 Torreense 2 - 1 União de Leiria

Form Analysis

Torreense
D W L D W
União de Leiria
W D L D W

Torreense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

União de Leiria Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Torreense
1.38
União de Leiria
1.17

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Torreense vs União de Leiria is a Football football match on November 9, 2026 at Campo Manuel Marques. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWLDW) for Torreense and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLDW) for União de Leiria. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 9 Nov 2026
📍 Campo Manuel Marques

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Torreense is currently #12 with 10 points from 9 matches, while União de Leiria is #9 with 14 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Torreense won 4, 0 were drawn and União de Leiria won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Torreense at 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus União de Leiria at 1.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.38 for Torreense and 1.17 for União de Leiria.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.