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Vitoria
W L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Fluminense
W L L L W
1X2 Vitoria 51%
O/U Over 1.5 79%
DC 1X 73%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Vitoria 51% Draw 23% Fluminense 26%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria and Fluminense?

Our prediction for the Vitoria–Fluminense match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Vitoria to win (51% confidence); Vitoria to win or draw (73% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Vitoria

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Vitoria scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Fluminense

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Fluminense scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Vitoria and Fluminense average 3.00 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Matheuzinho contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.87/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, J. Savarino contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.23/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Renato Gaúcho as coach of Fluminense. The latest recorded formations are Vitoria in 4-1-4-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and Fluminense in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 28, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Vitoria averaged 44.0% possession and 12.9 shots per match (5.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Fluminense averaged 57.6% possession and 12.6 shots (4.9 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Vitoria recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Fluminense recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.80 points, 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Barradao (Salvador).

Recent results show that Vitoria have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.8 points per home match compared with 0.4 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.61 — 1.47 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Vitoria
X26%Draw
234%Fluminense
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Vitoria
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Vitoria.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Fluminense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Fluminense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Vitoria23%
Fluminense20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Vitoria18%
Fluminense15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Vitoria54%
Fluminense46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Vitoria
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 26%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Fluminense
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 26%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.87%
#22-18.73%
#31-27.97%
#41-06.64%
#52-26.42%
Combined Top 541.63%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Vitoria + BTTS23%
Fluminense + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Vitoria Season

Rank#15
Points38
Matches Left5

Fluminense Season

Rank#4
Points54
Matches Left5

Vitoria Last 5

Coritiba 2 - 0
Atletico Paranaense 1 - 1
Corinthians 1 - 1
Sao Paulo 2 - 1
Chapecoense-sc 4 - 0

Fluminense Last 5

Internacional 2 - 1
Chapecoense-sc 2 - 1
Santos 1 - 2
Flamengo 1 - 0
Coritiba 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

Vitoria: 2 Draws: 2 Fluminense: 1
2026 Fluminense 2 - 2 Vitoria
2025 Vitoria 0 - 1 Fluminense
2025 Fluminense 1 - 1 Vitoria
2024 Vitoria 2 - 1 Fluminense
2024 Fluminense 0 - 1 Vitoria

Form Analysis

Vitoria
L D D L W
Fluminense
W L L L W

Vitoria Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.44
Goals scored23
Goals conceded13
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.81

Fluminense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.31
Goals scored21
Goals conceded25
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.56

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vitoria
1.65
Fluminense
1.21

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Vitoria vs Fluminense is a Brasileirão football match on November 6, 2026 at Estádio Manoel Barradas. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDDLW) for Vitoria and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLW) for Fluminense. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 6 Nov 2026
📍 Estádio Manoel Barradas

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Vitoria is currently #15 with 38 points from 33 matches, while Fluminense is #4 with 54 points from 33. Recent head-to-head history: Vitoria won 2, 2 were drawn and Fluminense won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Vitoria at 1.44 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per home match, versus Fluminense at 1.31 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.65 for Vitoria and 1.21 for Fluminense.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.