What is the prediction for the football match between Willem II and PEC Zwolle?
Our prediction for the Willem II–PEC Zwolle match is: PEC Zwolle to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
PEC Zwolle to win (60% confidence); over 2.5 goals (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
Willem II
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Willem II scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 4.00 per match.
PEC Zwolle
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, PEC Zwolle scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Willem II scored 0.80 and conceded 4.00 per match across 5 covered games; PEC Zwolle scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Haen contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.39/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Oosting contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.25/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, PEC Zwolle records a mean of 6.73/10 versus 6.01/10 for Willem II.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list J. Stegeman for Willem II and Henry van der Vegt for PEC Zwolle. The latest recorded formations are Willem II in 4-4-1-1 (Oct 31, 2026) and PEC Zwolle in 4-3-3 (Nov 1, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Willem II averaged 42.9% possession and 10.8 shots per match (2.5 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, PEC Zwolle averaged 41.6% possession and 13.9 shots (5.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Willem II recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.25 points, 0.75 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per match. Away from home, PEC Zwolle recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.67 points, 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Eredivisie fixture takes place at Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Willem II: 0.3 points per home match compared with 0.2 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.